LiontipsSobolenko - Pegula: betting tip (cf 1.80) and bets on the WTA Berlin match
Command Analysis
The transition to grass is obviously difficult for the first racket of the world. At the start in Berlin, Sobolenko won a working victory over Alexandrova without total superiority, and she did not play well on her serve (6-4, 6-4). In the quarterfinals, Arina almost lost to the young Czech Bartunkova. In fact, in that meeting, largely due to experience, she turned the game in her favor (2-6, 7-6, 6-4). It should be noted that the Belarusian tennis player has never made it past the semifinals in Berlin.
Pegula in Berlin went through two rounds without losing sets. At the start, Jessica beat Sinyakova 6-2, 6-4 due to a more stable game with a minimum number of unforced errors. In the quarterfinals, in the battle with compatriot Keyes, reliable play on her serve and the ability to confidently play key balls in tiebreakers came to the fore (7-6, 7-6). The American has performed successfully in Berlin more than once, and in 2024 she won this tournament.
Trends
The Totalbetis more than 2.5 sets
In the previous three face-to-face meetings, Sobolenko and Pegula played three sets apiece.
Bet 2nd set: total more than 9.5 games
The bet played in Sobolenko's three previous matches
Tip and bets
Pegula lost to Sobolenko 9 out of 12 face-to-face meetings, but at the same time she regularly imposed a fight, in the previous three face-to-face matches the tennis players played three sets. Judging by the matches against Alexandrova and Bartunkova, the world number one is far from her optimal form, and the transition to grass is difficult for her. In the duels against Sinyakova and Keyes, Pegula played with a minimum number of unforced errors, which could be the key moments today. We're betting on the underdog in this semi-final.
Our prediction is that Pegula will win with a handicap (+3.5) of the game with a coefficient of 1.80
