England vs Croatia: betting tip (cf 3.40) and bets on the World Cup match

World Cup Grp. L. dallas-stadium
EnglandEngland
10.06.26
England3 : 0Costa Rica
06.06.26
England1 : 0New Zealand
31.03.26
England0 : 1Japan
27.03.26
England1 : 1Uruguay
16.11.25
Albania0 : 2England
13.11.25
England2 : 0Serbia
CroatiaCroatia (Hrvatska)
07.06.26
Croatia2 : 1Slovenia
02.06.26
Croatia0 : 2Belgium
01.04.26
Brazil3 : 1Croatia
26.03.26
Colombia1 : 2Croatia
17.11.25
Montenegro2 : 3Croatia
14.11.25
Croatia3 : 1Faroe Islands
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England - Croatia
The favorites of Group L, England and Croatia, will play each other in the first round. In the previous two face-to-face meetings, the British were stronger. On the way to the World Cup, it was Thomas Tuchel's wards who performed better, winning the last two friendly matches, while the checkers did not cope with the top teams of Brazil and Belgium. In the betting tip, we evaluate the chances of rivals to score three points, and we consider promising trends for reliable bets

Command Analysis

England

Current form

England impressed with their performance and results in the qualifying tournament. In the eight matches played, the national team did not lose a single point, did not miss a single time and confidently finished in first place. Let's note the 22 goals scored – this is clearly the merit of Thomas Tuchel, with whom the team has become much more active and bolder to play in attack. Moreover, it cannot be said that the group was easy, Serbia and Albania are quite strong among the rivals.

During the spring training camp, the British were not impressed with the results in friendly matches. They parted ways with Uruguay (1-1), and lost to Japan with a minimum score of 0.:1. This is largely due to the fact that Tuchel actively experimented with the squad, tried many players, and looked for optimal combinations. On the eve of the World Cup, the German specialist also actively used rotation, but at the same time he managed to defeat both New Zealand (3:0) and Costa Rica (1:0). Once again, we see a reliable defensive game, focused on results.

Thomas Tuchel is one of those specialists who do not pay attention to public opinion and do not recognize any authorities. Foden, Palmer, Alexander-Arnold were not included in the squad. At the same time, you can see Jordan Henderson and Dan Bern. In attack, hopes are undoubtedly tied to Harry Kane, who has a great season at Bayern. It should be noted that the British spent the last training camp in hot conditions, they adapted perfectly.

Disqualifications and injuries

White is injured, Foden, Palmer, Alexander-Arnold and Maguire are out.

Interesting betting trends

  • In three consecutive matches with the participation of the British, there was no exchange of goals scored.
  • In four of the previous five matches, England's players were offside more often than their opponents.
  • Only one of England's last five matches has scored more than two goals.

The approximate line-up: Pickford – James, Stones, Konsa, O'Reilly – Anderson, Rice – Madueke, Bellingham, Gordon – Kane.

Croatia

Current form

In qualifying for the World Cup, the Croats did not suffer a single defeat, scored 22 points in eight matches. We managed to beat the Czech Republic from second place by six points. The attack in the selection proved to be at a high level – 26 goals scored. But it should be understood that in addition to the Czech Republic and Montenegro, the rivals were the modest Gibraltar and the Faroe Islands.

The friendly matches after the completion of the qualification became more significant. Here, the checkers have already suffered two defeats from the top teams of Brazil (1:3) and Belgium (0:2). The obvious problems could be seen in the defense. Moreover, even in the victorious sparring matches with Colombia (2:1) and Slovenia (2:1), it was not possible to win back to zero. There is a match against England ahead, where the same Kane is able to take advantage of defensive mistakes due to individual skill.

As before, the game of the Croatian national team decently depends on the veterans - 40–year-old Modric and 32-year-old Kovacic. It's hard for Zlatko Dalic's players to keep up the pace throughout the match. Plus, we remember that Guardiola and Kovacic recently recovered from injuries, and Modric had a cheekbone injury.

Disqualifications and injuries

Mayer is out of the application.

Interesting betting trends

  • In five of the last six matches, the Croats have not won by fouls.
  • In three matches in a row, the Croatian national team has not won in the first half.
  • Goal exchanges have been recorded in four of Croatia's last five matches.

Approximate squad: Livakovic – Stanisic, Shutalo, Pongracic, Guardiol – Kovacic, Modric – Kramaric, Pasalic, Perisic – Budimir.

Trends

England's Offside HandicapBet(0)

1.45

In four of the last five matches, England's players have been offside more often than their opponents.

1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals

1.38

In five consecutive matches involving the British, no more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.

The exact score is 1:0

5.60

This score was recorded in two of the last three matches of the England national team.

Bet England will not lose on yellow cards

1.92

Croatia's national team players have not received more yellow cards than their opponents in four of the previous five matches.

Tip and bets

TipEngland's victory
1.72

England quite expectedly and deservedly gets the status of a favorite in the line of bookmakers. Under the leadership of Thomas Tuchel, the national team has noticeably improved in attack, the German specialist has clearly outlined his game model, decided on the squad, where there is no way for anyone for past achievements. The British had a full training camp in the local conditions, adapted, won two friendly matches without missing a single one.

There are many questions about Croatia's readiness. The game is still heavily dependent on Modric and Kovacic, who are not getting any younger. In friendly matches, checkers lost to Brazil and Belgium. These defeats are very significant, they demonstrate that the Croats are not ready to play on equal terms with top opponents who can play intensively for 90 minutes. The defense constantly fails in such meetings. We expect the bookmakers' favorite to score three points in this pair.

Our betting tip is that England will win by a factor of 1.72

Did you like the tips?
TipCroatia won't score
2.17

Bet on total

In eight matches in qualifying, the British did not concede a single goal. Just before the start of the World Cup, Thomas Tuchel's men scored in friendly matches against New Zealand and Costa Rica. The England national team's defense is in perfect order, with virtually no weaknesses. There is a high probability that the Croats will not be able to hit the opponent's goal even once today.

The second bet is that Croatia will not score with a coefficient of 2.17.

A bet on the exact difference in the bill

At the World Championships, every point is worth its weight in gold, and the competition is serious, as you can see more than once during the tournament, when the favorites sensationally couldn't score three points apiece. It is not worth waiting for a crushing victory performed by the British. Nevertheless, Croatia has an experienced squad, Livakovic is able to prove himself in goal. We expect England to win with a minimal advantage in the score.

Prediction: England will win with a one–goal advantage with a coefficient of 3.40

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Betting predictions stat

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Total tips101
% of profit1.19%
Win percentage47.52%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins47.52%  (48)
Refunds6.93%  (7)
Loses45.54%  (46)
Total tips466
% of profit16.2%
Win percentage45.06%
Average coefficient1.9
Wins45.06%  (210)
Refunds8.15%  (38)
Loses46.78%  (218)