LiontipsHodar - Tien: betting tip (cf 1.79) and bets on the ATP Rome match
Command Analysis
Hodar was stronger than Matteo Arnaldi in the third round of the competition in Rome. The 19-year-old Spaniard confidently won the first set, allowed the local favorite to win back, but in the decisive game he turned on additional momentum again and brought the matter to its logical conclusion (6-1, 4-6, 6-3). Earlier in the tournament, Rafael beat Nuna Borges in two games.
Tien became the winner of a tense three-set match in the third round of the Rome Masters against Alexander Bublik. The 20-year-old American lost in the first set, but managed to turn the tide of the match and snatched victory at the end of the decisive game (4-6, 6-3, 7-5). Prior to this match, Lerner defeated Damir Jumhur in the second round.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
This was the scenario that unfolded in 3 of Hodar's last 5 matches.
2.34The 1st setbetis a total of more than 9.5 games
In 3 of Hodar's last 5 matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
2.13The Totalbetis less than 20.5 games
In 3 of Hodar's last 5 matches, less than 20.5 games were played.
1.96Tip and bets
Hodar is playing a great dirt track, with 14 wins and only two losses on this surface this season. The Spaniard has already proved his worth by outplaying such strong opponents as Alex De Minaur, Joao Fonseca and Matteo Arnaldi over the past two weeks.
Tien is certainly talented, but his best results are mainly related to hard work. On slow Roman ground, Hodar's advantage in endurance and the ability to arrange draws will be decisive. Objectively, the American has few chances against the profile and in excellent shape of the Spaniard.
Our prediction is that Hodar will win with a handicap of (-4) games by a factor of 1.79
