LiontipsPaul Vukic: prediction (cf 1.75) and bets on the ATP Rome match
Command Analysis
Paul performed poorly at the Madrid Masters, losing in the second round to Thiago Tirante, but he had previously won the competition in Houston. The 28-year-old American has four clay court wins this year with one loss. Tommy is in 18th place in the ranking. He played a great game at the Rome tournament last season, reaching the semifinals.
Vukic made it to the second round of the Rome Masters by beating Patrick Kipson. The 30-year-old Australian won the first game, gave up the second set in a tight fight, but in the decisive game he left no chance for the American, hanging the steering wheel for him (6-3, 5-7, 6-0). Thus, Alexander managed to break a series of seven defeats in a row, which had been dragging on since the beginning of March.
Trends
The Totalbetis more than 19.5 games
More than 19.5 games have been played in 3 of the last 5 matches of the season.
1.79The 1st setbetis a total of more than 9.5 games
In 3 of Paul's last 5 matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
2.22Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
In 3 of the last 5 matches, events developed according to this scenario.
2.26Tip and bets
Paul returns to his favorite courts in Rome, where he reached the semifinals two years in a row. It is critically important for the American to protect his ranking points, and the grid clearly favors him at the start of the competition. His opponent today, Vukic– is a true master of creating problems for himself, as we clearly saw in his opening match in Rome against Patrick Kipson, where the Australian managed to prolong the match by losing concentration in the second game.
The problem of Vukic's serial failures has not gone away: he still shows unstable tennis, which becomes even more vulnerable on slow Roman clay. Considering that Paul had already declassified Alexander in Adelaide at the beginning of the season, there is no reason to expect a different scenario in Rome. Tommy outperforms his opponent in every component of the game and must confidently break through the negative handicap.
Our prediction is that Paul will win with a handicap of (-5) games by a factor of 1.75
