LiontipsBaez - Bublik: betting tip (cf 1.89) and bets on the ATP Rome match
Command Analysis
Baez successfully started on the clay courts of Rome, breaking the resistance of Jenson Brooksby. The 25-year-old Argentine confidently won the first game, after which he showed composure in a tense tie-break of the second set (6-3, 7-6). It was Sebastian's seventh clay court victory this season, with seven losses.
Bublik performed poorly at the Madrid Masters, losing in the second round to Stefanos Tsitsipas. Before that, Alexander also played unsuccessfully in Munich, where he lost to Alex Molchan at the start. This season, the 28-year-old representative of Kazakhstan has scored two wins with three losses on clay. Alexander is currently ranked 11th in the world. It should be noted that last year he stopped on the courts of Rome following the results of the second round.
Trends
The 1st setbetis a total of less than 9.5 games
In 3 of the last 5 Bublik matches, less than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
1.91The Totalbetis less than 22.5 games
In the last 5 Bublik matches, less than 22.5 games were played.
1.85Tip and bets
Baez is considered a specialized primer, but the current form of the Argentine raises questions. His performances on European soil this season are still far from ideal: defeats to Vilius Gaubas in Madrid and Tomasz Makhach in Barcelona clearly show that Sebastian is vulnerable now. Even in the opening round of the Rome Masters against Jenson Brooksby, he experienced a lot of difficulties, almost dragging the match into the third set.
In turn, Bublik, although he does not hide his dislike of clay courts, this season demonstrates much more stable results and closely adheres to the top ten of the world ranking. The representative of Kazakhstan knows how to dictate his terms even on slow courts due to the powerful serve and non-standard shortened strokes, which become a problem for classic backline players.
Their last face-to-face meeting remains an important psychological factor: last year, Alexander confidently dealt with Baez in Miami, proving that he perfectly understands how to neutralize the Argentine's game. Given Baez's game crisis, Bublik has an excellent chance of a landslide victory in the upcoming match.
Our prediction is a Bagel win with a handicap of (-2) games for a coefficient of 1.89
