LiontipsAltmaier - Zverev: betting tip (cf 1.77) and bets on the ATP Rome match
Command Analysis
Altmaier made a comeback in the first round of the Rome Masters, defeating Zhizhen Zhang. The 27-year-old German lost in the first set, but managed to turn the tide of the match, winning the second game in a tiebreak and putting the squeeze on the Chinese tennis player in the decisive segment of the match (4-6, 7-6, 6-4). Recall that Daniel has played the final in Naples on clay this season.
Zverev showed a good result at the recent Masters in Madrid, reaching the final, where he lost to Yannick Sinner. This season, the 29-year-old German has 11 wins on clay with three losses. Alexander is currently in third place in the world ranking. Last year, at the Rome Masters, he reached the quarterfinals, and in general, he won twice on the local courts (in 2017 and 2024.)
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In Zverev's last 5 matches, events developed according to this scenario
2.32The 1st setbetis a total of less than 9.5 games
In 4 of Zverev's last 5 matches, he played less than 9.5 games in the first set.
1.64The Totalbetis less than 19.5 games
In 4 of the last 5 matches, Zverev has played less than 19.5 games.
1.97Tip and bets
Zverev arrived in Rome as one of the main favorites of the tournament, despite losing to Yannick Sinner in the final of the recent Masters in Madrid. The German has traditionally been successful on Italian courts – he has won the title here twice. Although Altmaier overcame the first round, he spent a lot of effort in a difficult three-set confrontation with Zhizhen Zhang. And it's impossible to say that Daniel is currently demonstrating high–quality tennis - there are also problems with his one-handed backhand in his game.
The difference in class between the compatriots is huge at the moment, which is confirmed by the history of their personal meetings: last year, on clay in Munich, Zverev literally declassified Altmaier, giving him only five games in the entire game. Given Alexander's excellent current playing form and his ability to dominate long draws on the back line, we believe that it will be almost impossible for Daniel to hold off the onslaught of the third racket of the world.
Our betting tip is that Zverev will win with a handicap of (-5) games for a coefficient of 1.77
