LiontipsAston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: betting tip (cf 1.77) and bets on the Europa League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Aston Villa is not having the most successful stretch of the season, they are now on a series of three defeats in a row. In the Premier League, Birmingham lost to Fulham on the road with a minimum score of 0:1 and lost to Tottenham at home (1:2). In between these matches was the first semi-final game of the Europa League against Nottingham Forest, where the lions suffered a minimal defeat 0:1. The standings in the Premier League are stable, Unai Emery's team is in fifth place three rounds before the finish, which allows them to play in the Champions League next season, six points ahead of the nearest pursuer. Against this background, in the last game against Tottenham, only five basic players actually entered the field from the first minutes. Obviously, the team is betting on the return game in the Europa League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kamara and Onana will miss the game due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- Aston Villa have not won in the first half in three consecutive matches.
- In the last 26 matches, Aston Villa players have been offside more often than their opponents in just four cases.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Cash, Consa, Torres, Digne – Bogarde, Thielemans – McGinn, Rogers, Buendfa – Watkins.
Current form
At the end of the season, despite the decent problems with the squad and the busy schedule of games, Nottingham Forest pleases its fans with the game and the results. At the moment, taking into account all the tournaments, the foresters are on a ten-match winless streak. Moreover, they had only won in the previous five duels. We have already managed to break away from the relegation zone in the Premier League by six points. There is a chance to compete for the trophy in the Europa League. Vitor Pereira's team did not have a significant advantage on their own field in the first match of the semi-finals, and they managed to score the only goal from the penalty spot. After that match, Nottingham Forest defeated Chelsea 3-1 in the Premier League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Boli, Savona, Hudson-Odoi, and Victor will not play due to injuries. Abbott, Aina, Gibbs-White, Ndoye, Sangare and Murillo are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches, Nottingham Forest players fouled less often than their opponents
- In six consecutive away matches, taking into account all tournaments, Nottingham Forest has not lost.
Provisional squad: Ortega – Williams, Milenkovic, Cunha, Morato – Bakwa, Dominguez, Anderson, Hutchinson – Wood, Jesus.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Aston Villa'sbetwon't lose by fouls
Nottingham Forest players did not foul more often than their opponents in three of the previous four matches.
1st halfbet: draw
In three of the five previous face-to-face meetings, a draw was recorded in the opening 45 minutes.
The bet is an accurate score of 2:0
Aston Villa have scored two of their last four home wins with this score
Tip and bets
Nottingham Forest is impressive with its results at the end of the season, going on a ten-match winless streak. However, with each new game, the infirmary increases, and Vitor Pereira does not have any opportunities to rotate the squad. Unai Emery has not only vast experience of key European Cup battles, but also the opportunity to rest key performers. It wasn't the main squad that played against Tottenham from the first minute. Now, at the end of the season, rest and physical fitness often come to the fore. In this regard, the advantage is on the side of Birmingham. Plus, the lions are playing at home, where they are traditionally strong, and they won all six Europa League matches with a total score of 14:3. We expect the hosts to confirm their favorite status today and win, perhaps not with a minimum score.
Our betting tip is for Aston Villa to win by a factor of 1.77
Bet on the total
In six home matches in the Europa League, Aston Villa scored 14 goals against their opponents. Nottingham Forest has significant losses in the squad, we do not think that the foresters will be able to cope with the powerful pressure of an extremely motivated opponent today. We are waiting for at least two goals scored from the hosts.
The second bet is Aston Villa's individual goal total of more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.82
Betting on corners
Aston Villa need to win back one goal, there is no doubt that the hosts will play number one, they will spend a lot of time at someone else's goal. In this scenario, there is a high probability that Birmingham will surely win on the corners. Moreover, according to this indicator, the lions have lost in only one of the last five matches.
Prediction – Aston Villa win on corners with a handicap (-2.5) with a coefficient of 1.60
