LiontipsArsenal vs Atletico: betting tip (cf 3.20) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Arsenal is coping with its main problem of recent seasons, when it slowed down in the endings and remained without titles. In the face of fierce competition from Manchester City, Mikel Arteta's men scored victories over Newcastle (1-0) and Fulham (3-0) in the last two rounds of the Premier League. Once again, the defense showed itself in full glory, winning back to zero. So, the summer residents scored only one shot on target during the entire match. In recent matches, Diekeres has been doing a great job in attack, he has a double with Fulham and an assist.
Arsenal are six points ahead of Manchester City in the Premier League standings. Now it's the turn of the townspeople, who have two fewer matches and who play their match of the 35th round only on Monday. It should be noted that the Gunners have scored 44 points in their home matches in the Premier League since the beginning of the season, which is absolutely the best indicator. In the Champions League, Mikel Arteta's team at the Emirates won all four games in the overall stage, in the playoffs it was due to a 2-0 home victory in the 1/8 finals that they overcame the resistance of Bayer, and with Sporting they parted ways at home (0-0), they retained the minimum advantage they gained away.
In Madrid, in the first match of the semi-final with Atletico, the Londoners dispersed peacefully (1:1). The opponents scored both goals in that meeting from the penalty spot in the opening 45 minutes. Overall, the result was positive for the Gunners, it was noticeable from the game that they did not take unnecessary risks, scored only two shots on target, coped with a decent onslaught from Madrid in the second half, when the hosts had a significant advantage.
Disqualifications and injuries
Timber, Merino and Havertz will not play today due to injuries. Edegor's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches Arsenal have lost in terms of the number of shots on goal.
- Arsenal players have fouled more often than their opponents in three of the last four matches.
- Arsenal have not lost at home in the current Champions League draw yet.
Approximate line–up: Raya – White, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori – Subimendi, Rice – Saka, Eze, Martinelli - Diekeres.
Current form
Atletico last played in the Champions League final ten years ago. This season, the mattresses got the opportunity to compete for the title again. Diego Simeone's team passed a real test of strength in the quarterfinals, defeating Barcelona. Then, of course, it was not without a bit of luck, as the Catalans remained ten in two matches. The meetings in Barcelona were significant, when Madrid won 2-0, playing from the 44th minute in the majority. According to the game, even with the numerical advantage, the mattresses did not have the advantage, the blue-garnet could score more than once.
In general, away matches have been a problem for Diego Simeone's players for several seasons. In La Liga, they scored only 20 points in 17 away games, which is only the seventh figure among all teams. In the Champions League, apart from the away victory over Barcelona, we managed to win only against PSV in the general stage. We also remember the 0-4 defeat by Arsenal in London.
In the example this season, Atletico, as usual, could not impose a fight on Barcelona and Real Madrid from a distance, besides, the third line, on which Villarreal is located, is also questionable. The gap from the opponent after 34 rounds is five points. In the previous La Liga match, the Mattresses beat Valencia 2-0 on the road.
Disqualifications and injuries
Atletico's injured list includes Barrios, Jimenez and N. Gonzalez.
Interesting betting trends
- In five consecutive matches, Atletico has not won in the first half.
- In seven of the nine previous matches involving Atletico, more than two offsides were recorded.
- There has been an exchange of goals scored in four of Madrid's last five matches.
Approximate squad: Oblak – Llorente, Pubil, Le Norman, Ruggeri – J. Simeone, Koke, Cardoso, Lukman – Griezmann, Alvarez.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:0
Arsenal have scored their last four home wins with a "dry" score.
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
The bet was successful in three previous Atletico matches
Atlético'sbetwon't lose on Corners
In three of the last four matches, Arsenal have not taken more corners than their opponents.
Bet on the victory of "Atletico" on yellow cards
In three of the previous four matches, Atletico's players received more yellow cards than their opponents.
Tip and bets
Arsenal got a draw on the road and now has a good chance to qualify for the final. On their own field, the Londoners have not suffered a single defeat in the current Champions League draw, including, at the general stage, they dealt with the upcoming opponent without problems with a score of 4:0. The main thing is that this time Mikel Arteta's team is clearly not planning to fail the end of the season, which they have done more than once. We have the depth of the squad, the attacking leaders, the same Diekeres, are in perfect order, we see a reliable defensive game again, in the previous two rounds in the Premier League, the Londoners were able to win back to zero.
Atletico are also on the move, but Madrid are not as dangerous on the road as they are at home. For the entire current Champions League draw, we have won only two away games, and we were lucky with Barcelona that the opponent played ten times for the whole half. We believe that Arsenal will achieve a confident victory today largely due to the home field factor.
Our prediction is that Arsenal will win with an Asian handicap (-1) by a factor of 2.10
Bet on the total
Arsenal has clearly overcome the slight decline that it had in April. First of all, Mikel Arteta was able to stabilize his players' defensive play. In the last three home matches, taking into account all tournaments, the Gunners have not conceded a single goal. The Londoners did not miss out on either Bayer or Sporting at home directly in the Champions League playoffs. Atletico may well add to this list, given that it does not conduct away meetings in the best way.
The second bet is that Atletico will not score with a coefficient of 2.30
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
The Londoners have scored nine wins in their last 12 home matches, taking into account all tournaments, and are traditionally strong at the Emirates. Arsenal have won five of these nine games by more than one goal. We expect the Gunners to win by a margin today, and we won't see a nervous ending.
The betting tip is Arsenal's victory with an advantage of two or three goals with a coefficient of 3.20
