LiontipsAtletico - Arsenal: betting tip (cf 3.10) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Towards the end of the season, Diego Simeone clearly bet on the Champions League. In La Liga, Madrid have long had no real chance of winning the championship, and at the cost of incredible efforts, they do not seem to intend to fight for the third place with Villarreal. At the same time, the gap from fifth-placed Betis is a comfortable 10 points. In recent rounds, in the Example, you can often see many young players in the squad, for them this is a chance to gain experience and prove themselves. On the eve of the European Cup game in La Liga, Athletic Bilbao managed to win (3:2).
In general, Atlético has been unable to achieve anything significant for a long time in the long tournament distance. In the Example, the maximum is the third line after Barcelona and Real Madrid. Individual matches are quite different, here the mattress pads are already ready to surprise and give their maximum. The experience of Diego Simeone, who knows how to tactically outplay his opponents, has a huge impact. We have seen several successful matches against Barcelona recently. We managed to beat the Catalans in the Spanish Cup in the semifinals and in the Champions League in the quarterfinals. The away victory in the Champions League with a score of 2:0 was especially impressive. They lost 1:2 at home, and it was lucky that the opponent remained ten each time, but for the most part it was far from easy to cope with Barcelona.
Before the battles with Catalans Atletico, Brugge (3:3 and 4:1) and Tottenham quite expectedly passed in the playoffs. (5:2, 2:3). Everything was already familiar to the Madrid team here: they achieved success through home victories. Actually, the defeat against Barcelona. In general, the mattresses have seven wins in the last ten home matches, taking into account all tournaments.
Disqualifications and injuries
Barrios and Jimenez are injured. The entry of Lukman and Gantzko into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In five consecutive matches with the participation of Atletico, taking into account all tournaments, an exchange of goals was recorded.
- Atletico's players fouled more often than their opponents in six of the previous eight matches.
- In five consecutive matches, Atletico has not lost in the first half.
The approximate line–up: Oblak – Molina, Pubil, Le Norman, Ruggeri - J. Simeone, Koke, Llorente, Baena – Griezmann, Alvarez.
Current form
Arsenal was second to none in the overall Champions League stage, when they won all eight matches and took first place. At the same time in London, the Gunners confidently dealt with Atletico with a score of 4:0. However, now it's a different story. It's the end of the season, the titles are looming, and this is the most dangerous time for Londoners. It was already possible to see this more than once: they lost the League Cup final to Manchester City, lost to Southampton in the quarter-finals of the FA Cup, lost a solid advantage in the Premier League, and again, in many ways, they lost the key match against the citizens. It's hard to call all this an accident: in the last seven matches, taking into account all tournaments, there are only two wins.
On the eve of the trip to Madrid, Arsenal defeated Newcastle in the Premier League with a minimum score (1-0). We scored an early goal, and then we played pragmatically with a clear emphasis on maintaining the advantage. After 34 rounds in the table, Mikel Arteta's men are in first place, three points ahead of Manchester City, but the opponent has a game in reserve.
Arsenal have not had a really serious test of strength in the Champions League playoffs yet. Bayer managed to get through largely due to a 2-0 home win, while there was a 1-1 draw away.:1. In the quarterfinals with Sporting, we scored a laborious minimum victory 1-0 on the road, after which we played very cautiously at home and held the advantage (0-0). Reliable defense in these meetings deserves respect (only one missed goal in the playoffs), but the Gunners' overly cautious football itself is worrying, especially considering that they will play today against the experienced Simeone's team, who is tactically able to find options in confrontations with any opponent.
Disqualifications and injuries
Timber and Merino are in the Arsenal infirmary. The entry of Calafiori and Havertz into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Arsenal players were offside more often than their opponents in three of the previous four matches.
- In four of the last five matches Arsenal have drawn in the first half.
- The Gunners have not conceded a single goal in the previous three Champions League matches.
Approximate line–up: Raya – White, Saliba, Gabriel, Inkapier - Edegor, Subimendi, Rice – Saka, Diekeres, Martinelli.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Atletico have scored three of their last five wins with a "dry" score.
1st halfbet: draw
In four of Arsenal's previous five matches, a draw was recorded in the first half.
Arsenal's Corner WinRate
Arsenal have won on corners in 21 of their last 27 matches.
The Total Yellow cardbetis more than 3.5
In 14 of the 19 previous Atletico matches, more than three yellow cards were shown.
Tip and bets
The current Atletico is no longer a super-pragmatic team that strictly relies only on defense. It is enough to look only at the statistics of recent matches: five games in a row with an exchange of goals scored, eight of the nine previous meetings ended with a total of more than 2.5 goals. Undoubtedly, Diego Simeone will set his players up to play actively in attack today in order to create a reserve before the second leg in London. It's not easy to crack the Gunners' defense, but they are vulnerable away, taking into account all the tournaments they played only once in the previous five matches. At the same time, Arsenal, even with its pragmatic, cautious football, finds chances at other people's gates, is distinguished by its cool standards and is capable of scoring a goal in Madrid. We believe that in the upcoming meeting, the most optimal bet will be on the exchange of goals scored.
Our betting tip is that both will score for a coefficient of 1.92
Betting on the outcome
Arsenal could not beat Bayer Leverkusen in the playoffs, and the victory over Sporting was not certain. In general, the Londoners can't bring the end of the season to their advantage yet, taking into account all the tournaments, they won only two of the seven previous matches. Atletico have a modest two wins in the last nine games, but one of them was in the most important match against Barcelona. Simeone, like no one else, is able to hold individual key matches at a high level, plus, today the mattresses are also playing at home, and this is an important moment for them all the time. We do not think that Madrid are the outsider in the first meeting. We believe that the hosts have no less chance of winning than the Gunners, and taking into account the coefficients set, we recommend betting on the Madrid team with a safety net in the form of a zero handicap.
The second bet is a victory for Atletico with an Asian handicap (0) with a coefficient of 2.00
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Arsenal had lost four of their previous seven matches, and all of the defeats were by a margin of one or two goals. There is no reason to expect the Gunners to allow themselves a complete failure today, but they are strong on the defensive. We expect that Atletico will win with a handicap of one or two goals.
The betting tip is a victory for Atletico with an advantage of one or two goals with a coefficient of 3.10
