In the previous seven face-to-face meetings, Fulham has consistently lost to Aston Villa. The next match between the rivals will take place on April 25 as part of the 34th round of the Premier League. Will Birmingham be able to beat a comfortable opponent again? - you can find out about this from our betting tip. What reliable bets should I choose for the match?
Command Analysis
Fulham
Current form
Fulham has a chance to compete for the European Cup top seven, which is four points behind. However, recent results suggest that Londoners are not ready for this. Only one victory in the asset in the previous five rounds, and that over the obvious outsider Burnley (3:1). In the last two rounds, Marc Silva's team played on the road, lost to Liverpool with a score of 1:2 and parted in peace with Brentford (0-0). Traditionally, Fulham performs powerfully on their own field. This season, nine out of a total of 13 wins have been recorded at home. At the same time, in recent home matches, it was possible to see unnecessary defeats from Everton (1:2) and West Ham (0:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Kevin and Tete will not play due to injuries, Iwobi is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In four of Fulham's last five matches, a 0-0 draw was recorded in the first half.
In 16 of the last 23 matches involving summer residents, more than three offsides were recorded.
Aston Villa are currently in the midst of a fight for the third place in the Premier League and for the trophy in the Europa League. It is noticeable that Unai Emery's players have improved decently at the end of the season, taking into account all tournaments, they are on a four-match winless streak, during which they scored three victories. Birmingham confidently advanced to the semi-finals of the Europa League, beating Bologna in two matches at the stage of the 1/4 finals (3:1 and 4:1). In the Premier League last round, Aston Villa defeated Sunderland in a difficult match with a score of 4:3 on their own field, they have 58 points, with which they occupy the fourth place. Manchester United, who is in third, has the same number of points scored.
Disqualifications and injuries
Only Camara is in the infirmary at Aston Villa.
Interesting betting trends
In three consecutive matches against Aston Villa, more than one goal was scored in the first half.
The exchange of goals scored was recorded in four of the five previous Birmingham matches.
Despite the fact that Fulham still has chances for European competitions, the Londoners are clearly not ready to give their maximum and compete at the end of the season. Even the important factor of the home field does not help them, as evidenced by the defeats against Everton and West Ham. Aston Villa, on the contrary, improved closer to the end of the season, and copes with the game on two fronts, in the Premier League and in the Europa League, approaching the match on a four-match winless streak. Let's add to this that the lions are successfully playing with the cottagers, having won against them in seven previous face-to-face meetings. It is logical to place a bet on the guests in this pair.
Our prediction is that Aston Villa will win with an Asian handicap (0) by a factor of 1.82
When choosing a total bet, we start from two points. Firstly, in four of the last five face-to-face meetings, the opponents scored more than two goals. Secondly, Aston Villa are now distinguished by their productive football, it is no coincidence that in four of the five previous Birmingham matches there was a bet on a total of more than 2.5 goals. Fulham will obviously not rely solely on defense on their own field.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.75
Betting on corners
According to statistics, Aston Villa have not won on corners in five consecutive matches. Obviously, corners are not a key element in the game of Unai Emery's players. Accordingly, we recommend another bet on the match.
Prediction – Fulham win on corners with a coefficient of 1.80
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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