LiontipsSunderland - Nottingham Forest: betting tip (CF 4.30) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
In the first round, Sunderland was one of the most striking discoveries of the current Premier League draw, firmly entered the European Cup zone, and even stayed in the top 4 for a while. The modest team could not compete at a distance, and a prolonged recession ensued. At the same time, it is necessary to pay tribute to the wards of Regis Le Brice, who got out of the crisis and showed solid results towards the end of the season.
In two of the previous three rounds, the Black Cats defeated Newcastle 2-1 away and Tottenham 1-0 at home. The only defeat happened in the last game against Aston Villa on the road, but Sunderland put up serious resistance in that meeting (3:4). Five rounds before the finish, Regis Le Brice's team has not yet lost its chances for the European Cup top seven, three points behind seventh-placed Bournemouth. With 46 points in the asset, Sunderland occupies a high 11th place. Potentially, even finishing in the top 10 would be a huge success, because initially, at the start of the season, the team was considered one of the obvious contenders to return to the Championship.
Since the beginning of the season, the Black Cats have proven themselves to be a strong home team and have not lost on their own field for a long time. At the moment, Sunderland have only lost three home games in the Premier League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Sunderland has Bee, Moore, Mandl, Traore and Angulo in the infirmary. Alderete is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In five consecutive matches, Sunderland has not won in the first half.
- Sunderland have only three defeats in 16 Premier League games played.
- In three of the last four matches, Sunderland's players have scored more shots on goal than their opponents.
Approximate line–up: Rufs – Mukiele, O'nien, Ballard, Mandawa– Jaka, Sadiki–Rigg, Diarra, Le Fe - Brobbi.
Current form
As expected, Nottingham Forest is having a difficult season. Last year's successes are long in the past. Initially, foresters did not have reserves to count on positive results in all tournaments where he played. The failure followed in the Premier League, where it is important to score points from a distance. By the start of the 34th round, the team is in 16th place, five points away from the relegation zone.
Nottingham Forest has created a more or less solid lead largely due to recent successes. The unbeaten streak in the Premier League currently stands at five matches. In the last round, we managed to win an important home victory over Burnley. The final score of 4:1 does not fully reflect what was happening on the field, as the Maroon led 1-0 until the 62nd minute, but completely failed the end of the match.
Despite all its problems and frequent coach changes, Nottingham Forest has been most successful in the Europa League this season. In the quarterfinals, Vitor Pereira's team defeated Porto (1-1 and 1-0). Next week, we have the first semi-final match on our own field against the well-known Aston Villa.
Disqualifications and injuries
Boli, Victor, Savona and Hudson-Odoi are on the injured list, and Murillo's return to the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of the previous five matches, Nottingham Forest players did not foul more often than their opponents
- The Foresters have not conceded more than one goal in eight consecutive matches, taking into account all tournaments.
- In three of the last five matches, Nottingham Forest did not win in the first half.
Approximate line–up: Sels - Aina, Milenkovic, Cunha, Williams – Sangare, Anderson – Bakwa, Gibbs-White, Hutchinson – Jesus.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The exact score is 1:0
Sunderland have scored their last two wins with a one-goal advantage.
Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of Sunderland's previous five matches, goals had not been scored in each of the halves.
The Total cornerbetis more than 9.5
In six of the last eight matches of the hosts, more than nine innings were served from the corner flag.
The Total Yellow cardrateis more than 3.5
Stavka has played in five of Sunderland's last six matches
Tip and bets
In the upcoming match, first of all, we pay attention to the possible bet on the total. In the last round, Sunderland had a super-productive game against Aston Villa, where seven goals were scored. This is clearly an exception to the rule rather than a pattern. The Black Cats achieve almost all of their successes due to reliable defense, they conceded only 14 goals at home, and only Manchester City and Arsenal have a better record. Nottingham Forest is approaching the upcoming game on a seven-match winless streak, taking into account all tournaments, and has never conceded more than one goal during this period. With a high degree of probability, the opponents will rely on defense first of all today, and even if someone comes out ahead in the score, they will try their best to keep their advantage, as it was in the face-to-face meeting of the first round, when Sunderland won with a minimum score of 1-0.
Our betting tip is a total of less than 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.70
Betting on the outcome
There is no favorite in the line of bookmakers. Indeed, we have opponents in many ways comparable in class, anyone can win such a match, especially since there are no problems with motivation, since Sunderland has not yet lost hope of finishing in the European Cup top seven, and Nottingham Forest has not secured a place in the Premier League for next season. With such introductory data, we rely on the home field factor when choosing a bet. Sunderland have suffered only three defeats at home since the start of the Premier League season.
The second bet is a victory for Sunderland with an Asian handicap (0) with a coefficient of 1.90
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In the face-to-face meeting of the first round on the road, Sunderland scored a minimal victory 1:0. It is unlikely that the black Cats will be able to win more confidently at home, given that the opponent is far from declining and has a reliable defensive game.
Prediction – Sunderland win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.30
