LiontipsLajovic - Arnaldi: betting tip (cf 1.82) and bets on the ATP Madrid match
Command Analysis
The experienced Lajovic is not performing so well this year, ranking only 134th in the world rankings. The 35-year–old Serb still has a negative balance on his favorite field - seven wins and eight losses. Dusan played in the main draw six times in Madrid, and his best result was reaching the quarterfinals back in 2018.
Arnaldi still can't find his best game: the 25-year-old Italian has only one win on clay and one on hard this year. In Monte Carlo and Barcelona, he was eliminated in the early stages of qualifying and the first round. Matteo has now dropped back to 105th place in the world ranking. It should be noted that in Madrid this season he will have to defend last year's quarterfinals.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This is how events unfolded in 4 of Arnaldi's last 5 matches.
2.25The 1st setbetis a total of more than 9.5 games
In 3 of Arnaldi's last 5 matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
1.90The Totalbetis less than 22.5 games
Arnaldi has played less than 22.5 games in his last 5 matches.
1.76Tip and bets
Both tennis players approach the face-to-face confrontation in far from the best playing conditions, so tournament motivation comes to the fore. And here Arnaldi has the advantage. Last year, the Italian sensationally reached the quarterfinals in Madrid, beating Novak Djokovic and Francis Tiafoe along the way. It is vital for him to protect his rating points. Lajovic is now frankly bad and manages to lose even to opponents from the second hundred of the world ranking. A loaded Arnaldi must win this match.
Our prediction is that Arnaldi will win by a factor of 1.82
