Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad: betting tip (cf 3.80) and bets on the Spanish Cup match

Command Analysis

Current form
This season, Atletico has habitually failed to compete with Barcelona and Real Madrid in the Primera. Moreover, the third place is even more questionable. After 31 rounds, the mattresses occupy only the fourth position and are four points behind Villarreal. Diego Simeone's team lacks stability at the distance, and plus, traditionally weak results can be seen on the road: only 17 points scored in 15 matches.
But in other tournaments, where the distance is not too long, Atletico is able to prove itself. This season we are seeing a major breakthrough in the Champions League. Madrid managed not only to reach the quarterfinals of the Champions League, but also moved on, beating Barcelona 3-2 in the aggregate of two matches. Interestingly, it was the Catalan mattress pads that went through to the semifinals of the Spanish Cup. Then the key victory was a home victory with a crushing score of 4:0. We lost 0-3 in the return leg and made it to the finals. At the same time, Diego Simeone's team lost to the Catalans twice this season as part of the Primera.
In general, it is worth noting that Atletico gradually increased along the way of the cup tournament. At first, it was not without problems that we managed to form a strong-willed victory over the representative of the fourth division, Baleares (3:2). Then, with a modest score of 1-0, they defeated Deportivo. But in the quarterfinals they defeated Betis (5:0), after which they passed Barcelona.
Disqualifications and injuries
The appearance of Jimenez, Gantzko and Barrios on the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In nine consecutive matches, Atletico has not left the field without scoring a goal.
- In five consecutive matches, Atletico's players fouled more often than their opponents.
- In three of the last five matches, the mattresses did not lose in the first half.
Approximate composition: Mousseau — Molina, Pubille, Le Norman, Ruggeri — Simeone, Koke, Llorente, Lukman — Griezmann, Alvarez.

Current form
Real Sociedad has not lived up to expectations and betting tips for a long time, and has been at the bottom of the table since the start of the season. The change of coach was a turning point. With the arrival of Pellegrino Matarazzo, the basques increased, in La Liga they moved up to the European Cup zone and in parallel successfully walked the grid in the Spanish Cup.
However, over a long distance, Real Sociedad still began to slow down. Currently, the team is not showing stable results in the Example, there have been two wins, two losses and one draw in the last five rounds. On the eve of the cup final, the Basques had a decisive duel with Alaves (3-3). In the standings, Matarazzo's wards are in seventh place and two points behind Celta from sixth place.
In the Spanish Cup, the Basques did not have the most difficult tournament grid, in fact, they did not pass any of the top opponents. In the early stages, we dealt with rivals from lower divisions. Then, starting from the 1/8 finals, we played against the representatives of La Liga. Osasuna passed only in a penalty shootout, barely pulled out a victory from Alaves with a score of 3:2. In the semifinals, there was a two-match showdown with Athletic, which is not having the most confident season. Real Sociedad ended both matches in their favor with the same score 1:0.
Disqualifications and injuries
Odriosola, Ruperes and Zakharyan will not play in the final. Subeldia and Herrera are in question.
Interesting betting trends
- In six consecutive matches, Real Sociedad scored in the second half.
- In three of the previous four matches, the Basques were more likely to be offside than the opponents.
- The exchange of goals scored was recorded in four of the five previous matches of the team.
Approximate line-up: Remiro — Aramburu, Chaleta-Tsar, Martin, Gomez — Gorotachegi, Soler — Kubo, Sucic, Gedesh — Oyarzabal.
Trends
The bet is an accurate score of 3:2
Real Sociedad have suffered the last two defeats, conceding three goals each.
Bet 1 half: Atletico victory
In four of the six previous face-to-face meetings, such a bet passed
The Total Yellow cardrateis more than 3.5
In 13 of Madrid's last 17 matches, the referees have shown at least four warnings.
Real Sociedad'sbetwon't Lose on Corners
In four of the last five matches, Atletico have lost on corners.
Tip and bets
Atletico have five defeats in the previous six matches, frankly weak statistics. However, in this segment, the mattresses passed Barcelona in the quarterfinals of the Champions League, which is worth a lot. Diego Simeone knows how to play great individual matches with his players, and experience in such meetings often plays a key role. The mattress pads in the line of bookmakers are quite deservedly acting as a favorite today. Under Matarazzo's leadership, Real Sociedad produced a powerful stretch, but it is noticeable that towards the end of the season, the Basques slowed down, and they were far from reaching the finals at their peak. In addition, you will have to play against an uncomfortable opponent: since 2022, Real Sociedad has not beaten Atletico. We believe that the mattress pads will formalize the victory in the main time today.
Our betting tip is that Atletico will win by a factor of 1.85
Bet on the total
At the moment, Atletico is far from being a closed, purely defensive team. It's enough just to look at the statistics of matches involving mattress pads: in five of the six previous matches, more than two goals were scored. Real Sociedad is able to support open attacking football, especially since the Spanish Cup is at stake today.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.86
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
The Basques are not used to leaving the field without a fight, there is no doubt that in the Cup final they will fight to the maximum and will not allow themselves a major defeat. Plus, three of the last five victories have been scored by Atletico with a minimal difference in the score.
The betting tip is a victory for Atletico with a one–goal advantage with a coefficient of 3.80


























