LiontipsFonseca - Paul: prediction (cf 1.89) and bets on the Indian Wells ATP match
Command Analysis
Fonseca became the author of a loud sensation in the second round of Indian Wells, having won a strong-willed victory over Karen Khachanov. The 19-year-old Brazilian lost the first game, snatched the second set in a tough tiebreak and put the squeeze on the Russian in the decisive segment of the match (4-6, 7-6, 6-4). Let's remind that at the start of the tournament, Joao passed Rafael Collignon.
The floor on the courts of Indian Wells easily dealt with Zizu Bergs. The 28-year-old American experienced no problems, giving the Belgian only three games in the entire match, and confidently advanced to the next round of the Masters (6-1, 6-2). Tommy has ten wins and four losses on the open hard this season.
Trends
The Totalbetis more than 23.5 games
In 4 of Paul's last 5 matches, more than 23.5 games were played.
1.91Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
This scenario has been followed in 3 of the last 5 matches.
2.27The 1st setbetis a total of less than 9.5 games
In 4 of Paul's last 5 matches, less than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
2.39Tip and bets
The floor is in perfect order now. After playing the final in Delray Beach, he continues to demonstrate a high level of play. In the first round at Indian Wells, the American did not notice the sturdy Ziza Bergs at all, giving him only three games in the match. Fonseca has victories over Rafael Collignon and Karen Khachanov at the current Masters, which also speaks to the Brazilian's good playing conditions. But still, we think that it is Tommy who is better prepared to play on a viscous hardboard here and now.
Our prediction is that Paul will win with a handicap (-2) by a factor of 1.89
