LiontipsNakashima - Hugo Carabelli: prediction (cf 1.75) and bets on the ATP Indian Wells match
Command Analysis
Nakashima competed in Acapulco last week, where he managed to reach the semifinals, where Brandon lost to Francis Tiafoe. The 24-year-old American has eight open hard court wins and four losses this season. He reached the fourth round at Indian Wells last year.
Hugo Carabelli made it to the second round on the courts of Indian Wells, breaking the resistance of Martin Damm. The 26-year-old Argentine won a tense first set in a tiebreak, after which he completely seized the initiative and confidently completed the second game (7-6, 6-3). It should be noted that this was Camilo's first victory on the open hard court this season with three defeats.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This is how events unfolded in 3 of Nakashima's last 5 matches.
2.28The 1st setbetis a total of less than 9.5 games
In 3 of Nakashima's last 5 matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
1.73The Totalbetis less than 20.5 games
In 3 of Nakashima's last 5 matches, less than 20.5 games have been played.
1.94Tip and bets
In recent years, Nakashima has noticeably changed his style, exchanging his habitual aggression for a more calm and measured tennis. Now Brandon relies too often and sometimes unnecessarily on his two-handed backhand. Hugo Carabelli, on the other hand, left a very pleasant impression on the first round match against Damme. The Argentine performed well on the reception and immediately switched from defense to attack. We believe that this kind of game will cause a lot of trouble for an American, and he definitely won't have an easy walk here.
Our prediction is that Hugo Carabelli will win with a handicap of (+5) games for a coefficient of 1.75
