In two personal meetings of the season in the Championship, Southampton beat Leicester. The rivals will play their next match on February 14 as part of the 1/16 FA Cup final. Will the Saints be able to beat Leicester again? - the answer is in our betting tip. What are the best bets for the cup game?
Command Analysis
Southampton
Southampton has improved significantly over the course of the season and has moved up to the top 6 in the Championship. The Saints had an impressive five-match unbeaten streak, with four wins and one draw. Thanks to this, we managed to rise to ninth place, and the gap from the top six is only one point. In the last round on February 10, Southampton beat their current cup opponent Leicester on the road with a score of 4.:3. In the FA Cup, a 3-2 away win over Doncaster was recorded in the 1/32 finals.
Leicester City
Leicester are approaching the upcoming cup game on a decent slump. In four consecutive rounds in the Championship, the foxes suffered defeats, regularly conceding at least two goals. As a result, after 32 rounds, they occupy only the 19th place and are ahead of the relegation zone only in terms of additional indicators. However, Leicester was still deprived of six points by the decision of the federation. In the FA Cup, in the 1/32 finals, the Foxes defeated Cheltenham 2-0 on the road.
Just four days ago, Southampton beat Leicester on the road in the Championship. We expect the saints to be stronger at home, but already in the Cup. The Foxes are currently on the decline, constantly failing defensively, the series of defeats has reached the mark of four matches, in which they conceded 10 goals. Given the current form, this pair suggests a bet on Southampton's victory.
Our betting tip is for Southampton to win by a factor of 1.75
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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