LiontipsIgnacio Buse - Sebastian Baez: prediction (cf 1.87) and bets on the Buenos Aires ATP match
Command Analysis
Buse survived an exhausting three-set marathon against Francesco Passaro at a tournament in Buenos Aires. The 21-year-old Peruvian talent lost the opening game, but managed to turn the tide of the match and put the squeeze on the Italian qualifier in the deciding set (5-7, 7-5, 6-4). It should be noted that for Ignacio it was the first match of the new season.
Baez will have his first fight since the Australian Open. In Melbourne, we recall, for the 25-year-old Argentine, everything ended at the end of the second round, where he lost to Luciano Darderi. Although Sebastian had previously managed to reach the finals at the Auckland competition. Recall that Baez's best result in Buenos Aires is the quarterfinals of 2024.
Trends
The Totalbetis more than 21.5 games
Buse has played more than 21.5 games in 3 of the last 5 matches.
1.87The 1st setbetis a total of less than 9.5 games
In 3 of Buse's last 5 matches, less than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
1.93Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
According to this scenario, events unfolded in 3 of the last 5 matches of the Buse
2.24Tip and bets
Baez performed well at the start of the season, winning eight out of ten matches. Moreover, the victories were obtained on a non-core hard drive for him. Among those beaten by Sebastian were Taylor Fritz, Stan Wawrinka and world number nine Ben Shelton. It is obvious that the Argentine approached the home competition in Buenos Aires in optimal playing conditions. Buse will certainly resist, but we do not think that the young Peruvian will be able to significantly complicate the life of an experienced Baez.
Our prediction is that Baez will win with a handicap of (-4) games by a factor of 1.87
