LiontipsChelsea - Leeds: betting tip (cf 3.00) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
The change of coach has clearly benefited Chelsea. Under the leadership of Liam Rosenor, the Londoners lost only to Arsenal in the League Cup, and the matches were largely equal. In the Premier League, the Aristocrats have a four-match winning streak and continue to fight for fourth place. Interestingly, during the same period in the Premier League, Manchester United is on a four-game winning streak, and the Mancunians also had a change of coach. By the start of round 26, the Red Devils are in fourth place in the table, one point ahead of the seniors.
Under Roseior's leadership, Chelsea stopped losing points in matches against opponents from the bottom half of the table. In many ways, due to the bold attacking play in the last three rounds, we managed to achieve victories over Crystal Palace (3:1), West Ham (3:2) and Wolverhampton (3:1). In general, the aristocrats' performance has clearly increased. So, in the previous five games, taking into account all tournaments, they scored at least three goals in four cases. The Londoners continue to make up for lost time on their own field, having won three of the last five matches.
In the Champions League, in the final two rounds, Chelsea defeated Paphos (1-0) and Napoli (3:2). Thanks to these successes, they managed to finish in sixth place in the overall standings and get a ticket to the 1/8 finals immediately.
Disqualifications and injuries
Colville, Lavia, Adarabioyo, Essugo and Gittens will not play today due to injuries. The entry of Jorgensen, James and Santos into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, Chelsea have won in the first half.
- In seven of the nine previous games of the Aristocrats in the Premier League, at least three goals were scored.
- Goal exchanges have been recorded in eight of Chelsea's last nine Premier League matches.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – Gusteau, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella –Caicedo, Fernandez –Neto, Palmer, Garnacho – Joao Pedro.
Current form
Leeds is successfully coping with the main task of the season to maintain registration in the Premier League. After 25 rounds, the peacocks have 29 points on their account and occupy the 16th place. The gap from the relegation zone currently stands at six points.
Leeds scored an important victory in the last round, when they outplayed one of their direct competitors in the fight for survival, Nottingham Forest (3:1). In fact, everything was decided in that meeting in the first half, when the peacocks led 2-0. At the beginning of the second 45 minutes, they scored the third goal, and the foresters scored a prestige goal only at the very end. At the same time, it cannot be said that Daniel Farke's team did not allow their opponent to do anything: Nottingham Forest scored 16 shots on goal, six of them on target, but the implementation often failed.
Leeds have had only two defeats in the last 13 matches, taking into account all tournaments. For a team with far from the strongest selection of performers, the result is more than solid. At the same time, it should be noted that the peacocks are completely unimpressive on the road throughout the season: only seven points scored in 12 Premier League matches, this is only the 18th indicator.
Disqualifications and injuries
Only Stach won't play.
Interesting betting trends
- There has been an exchange of goals in 12 of Leeds' previous 15 Premier League matches.
- Leeds have lost 9 of their last 10 matches by offside
- Leeds have only two defeats in the last 12 Premier League matches.
Approximate composition: Darlow– Justin, Streak, Rawdon–Bogle, Gruev, Ampadu, Gudmundsson–Okafor, Aaronson–Calvert-Lewin.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The bet is an accurate score of 3:1
Chelsea have scored two of their last four wins with this score
11.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
This bet played out in four of the five previous face-to-face meetings
1.61Leeds' Total cornerrateis less than 4.5
In six of the last eight away matches in the Premier League, Leeds have not played more than four innings from the corner flag.
1.47Leeds' Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 2.5
Stavka played in 11 of the 12 previous Leeds away matches in the Premier League
1.42Tip and bets
Despite Leeds' recent solid results, we still give the upper hand to the aristocrats. In many ways, the success of the Peacocks is due to their home performances, they have scored only seven points on the road since the beginning of the season and are very vulnerable defensively, conceding 25 goals. Chelsea, under Rosenor's leadership, has noticeably improved in attack, consistently scores three goals each and does not allow itself to misfire with rivals who are inferior in class. Plus, the aristocrats are playing at home today, where they scored three wins in the previous five matches, twice with a difference of more than one goal. In the face of a tough fight for a place in the top four, Chelsea has no right to lose points today.
Our prediction is that Chelsea will win with an Asian handicap (-1) for a coefficient of 1.90
Bet on the total
When choosing a total bet, it is logical to start from Chelsea, which has significantly improved in attack after the change of coach. In four of the previous five matches, the Aristocrats scored three goals each. Leeds does not have a reliable defense, they allow their opponents a lot at their gates. There is a high probability that the game will be productive, especially since at least three goals were scored in five of the six previous face-to-face meetings.
The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 2.03
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Chelsea is playing at home, has a tangible advantage in class, has no problems in attack and is quite capable of getting a comfortable victory today with a difference of two or three goals. Moreover, in this format, the aristocrats won in two of the four previous victorious matches.
Prediction – Chelsea will win by two or three goals with a 3.00 coefficient
