Leeds - Nottingham Forest: betting tip (cf 2.60) and bets on the English Premier League match

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Leeds UnitedEngland
Nottingham ForestEngland
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Leeds United - Nottingham Forest
On February 6, Leeds will host Nottingham Forest in the 25th round of the English Premier League. The rivals are located on adjacent lines in the standings, have an equal number of points, and a victory today will allow them to significantly break away from the relegation zone. Who is more likely to score three points and which exact bets should I choose? - the answer is in our expert's betting tip

Command Analysis

Leeds United

Current form

Leeds went on a three-match winless streak, but in the last round of the Premier League they could not do anything against Arsenal (0-4). The difference in class turned out to be too great, the opponent had a total advantage, scored two goals in each half and deservedly won. It's hardly worth talking about a complete failure just for this game. In general, the peacocks have been showing solid results since December: they have played 12 matches, suffered only two defeats, taking into account all tournaments, and even those were against opponents superior in class, Newcastle and Arsenal.

Leeds have suffered only three defeats at home since the start of the season. Again, we note that the peacocks lost only to noticeably superior opponents in class: Tottenham, Aston Villa, Arsenal. At home, the Peacocks scored 19 points, the 13th highest score in the Premier League. In the standings, Daniel Farke's team, thanks to recent successes with 26 points, occupy the 16th place and are six points ahead of the relegation zone.

In the FA Cup, Leeds overcame the opposition of Derby County on the road in the first stage. The 3-1 victory took the team to the 1/16 finals.

Disqualifications and injuries

They will not be able to help their team today due to injuries to Biyol and Nmech. James' entry into the field is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • In three of the last five matches, Leeds have not won in the first half.
  • In eight of the previous nine matches, Leeds players were offside less often than their opponents.
  • In 11 of Leeds' last 14 Premier League matches, there has been an exchange of goals scored.

Approximate composition: Darlow– Justin, Streak, Rawdon–Bogle, Gruev, Ampadu, Gudmundsson–Stach, Aaronson–Calvert-Lewin.

Nottingham Forest

Current form

Nottingham Forest is approaching the upcoming away game on a three-match winless streak. At first, they managed to score a sensational victory over Brentford on the road with a score of 2:0 in the Premier League. Then Ferencvaros was defeated at home in the Europa League, and in the previous round of the Premier League, a 1-1 home draw with Crystal Palace was recorded. Recent successes have allowed us to break away from the relegation zone by six points, but given that West Ham, which is following, has noticeably increased recently, this handicap does not guarantee anything yet.

It's important to score points against a direct competitor today. However, it will not be easy to do this, given the powerful game of Leeds on their own field and the significant losses of the foresters with the squad. Due to injuries, two main goalkeepers may not play at once today, one of Savona's key defenders is injured, and in addition to this, a certain Williams is also disqualified.

In the Europa League, Nottingham Forest finished 13th overall with 14 points. Now in the 1/16 finals, Sean Dyche's team will play Fenerbahce.

Disqualifications and injuries

Wood, Victor and Savona are injured. Celsa's entry into the field is questionable, and Williams will serve a suspension.

Interesting betting trends

  • In four consecutive matches, Nottingham Forest players fouled less often than their opponents
  • Nottingham Forest has failed to win in six of the last eight matches in the Premier League
  • In nine consecutive away matches in the Premier League, Nottingham Forest has not played a draw.

Approximate composition: Gunn–Aina, Milenkovic, Murillo, Morato–Anderson, Sangare–Hudson-Odoi, Gibbs-White, Dominguez–Jesus.

xG Expected goals
Leeds United
0.19xG per Match0.58
Nottingham Forest

Trends

The exact score is 1:0

Leeds have scored two of their five home wins since the start of the season with this score

6.80
6.80

1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals

This bet was played in three of Leeds' previous five games

1.38
1.38

Leeds' Total cornerrateis less than 6.5

In seven of the previous nine home matches in the Premier League, Leeds have not taken more than six corners.

1.41
1.41

Leedsbetwon't lose on yellow cards

In three of the last four matches, Nottingham Forest players have not received more yellow cards than their opponents.

1.55
1.55

Tip and bets

TipLeeds victory
2.17

There are neighbors in the standings, rivals are betting on getting as far away from the relegation zone as possible. In many ways, the chances of winning in such a meeting are equal. However, there are two key points that speak in favor of Leeds. Firstly, the peacocks have been achieving the most success on their own field throughout the season and are gaining the lion's share of points, second only to noticeably superior opponents in class. Secondly, Nottingham Forest is experiencing significant personnel problems in the defensive line, it is far from certain that one of the two main goalkeepers will be able to enter the field today, and Williams' disqualification may seriously affect the reliability of the defense. We believe that Leeds will have a great chance to score the important three points today.

Our betting tip is that Leeds will win by a coefficient of 2.17

Did you like the tips?
Tiptotal less than 2.5 goals
1.75

Bet on the total

Leeds most often succeeds on their own field only when they manage to play reliably defensively, it is no coincidence that the peacocks did not concede more than one goal in all five victorious home matches, and in two cases they won with a minimum score of 1:0. We believe that it is the hosts who will dictate their playing conditions today. We won't see the field and more than two goals scored. Moreover, Nottingham Forest plays quite straightforwardly and predictably in attack.

The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.75

A bet on the exact difference in the bill

There is no need to talk about any noticeable difference in class between the opponents, which is reflected in the standings. Since the beginning of the season, Leeds have won five matches on their own field, and in four of them with an advantage of one or two goals. We are waiting for a victory today in a similar style, without any devastating score.

The betting tip is a victory for Leeds with an advantage of one or two goals with a coefficient of 2.60

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Tips from experts

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips11
% of profit-0.43%
Win percentage45.45%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins45.45%  (5)
Refunds0.00%  (0)
Loses54.55%  (6)
Total tips452
% of profit16.93%
Win percentage45.13%
Average coefficient1.91
Wins45.13%  (204)
Refunds8.41%  (38)
Loses46.46%  (210)