LiontipsLiverpool vs Newcastle: betting tip (cf 3.90) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Liverpool is approaching the upcoming match after a bright home victory in the Europa League over Karabakh (6:0). In that meeting, the Merseysiders finally reminded themselves of the pattern of last season, when they continuously attacked and did not allow the opponent to create anything. We managed to score 32 shots on goal during the match, and there were no problems with the implementation. The Reds finished the league stage in third place with 18 points and received a ticket to the 1/8 finals. So far this season, it is in the Champions League that Arne Slot's team is showing itself most confidently and successfully.
Things are still unstable in the Premier League. So, in the last round, the defense once again failed, conceding three goals from Bournemouth on the road. The 2:3 defeat in that meeting led to the fact that by the start of the 24th round, the Merseysiders were only in sixth place and risked being left without a European Cup ticket altogether. So far, everything is in the hands of the wards of the Slot themselves, as the gap from the top 4 is only two points.
The unbeaten streak in the Premier League has reached the five-match mark. There were draws in four of them, plus a loss to Bournemouth. Liverpool are clearly performing below expectations on their own field this season: just 21 points, the tenth highest score in the Premier League.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bajcetic, Bradley, Dunns, Leonie and Isak are injured. Gomez, the Frimpong is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of Liverpool's last five matches, more than one goal has been scored in the first half.
- In five of the last seven matches of the Merseysiders in the Premier League, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- Liverpool have not conceded in the first half in the last five home matches in the Premier League.
Approximate composition: Alisson – Soboslai, Konate, van Dijk, Kerkez – Gravenberch, Jones – Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo – Ekitike.
Current form
Newcastle will play today after a difficult battle with PSG on the road. We managed to hold off the onslaught of the opponent in Paris and snatch a 1-1 draw. Interestingly, this outcome did not allow either PSG or Newcastle to advance to the 1/8 finals. In general, of course, the 12th place in the league stage performed by Eddie Howe's wards can be considered a success.
In the Premier League, because of their instability, the Magpies cannot really join the fight for the top 4. After 23 rounds, they have 33 points and an intermediate ninth place. The gap between Manchester United, which is in fourth place, is five points. In the previous two rounds, Newcastle could not win: an away draw with Wolverhampton (0:0) and a home defeat against Aston Villa (0:2).
It is noticeable that Newcastle lacks the depth of the squad, even despite numerous reinforcements in the summer, in order to perform smoothly and consistently in all tournaments. Injuries are taking their toll, plus obvious problems for the Magpies with away matches: only two wins in 11 matches in the Premier League since the beginning of the season in foreign arenas. It's hard to count on a place in the top four only due to home successes.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kraft, Cher, Lascelles, Livramento and Joellinton are injured.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of Newcastle's last five matches, a draw was recorded in the first half.
- In the last 14 away matches in the Premier League, the Magpies have scored only two victories.
- In 9 of the previous 12 away matches in the Premier League, Newcastle did not score
The approximate line-up: Pope – Trippier, Tschau, Botman, Bern – Miley, Tonali, Bruno – Barnes, Wissa, Gordon.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
This score was recorded in three of the last eight face-to-face meetings.
7.701st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet was played in the previous six face-to-face matches
1.58Liverpool's Corner WinRate
In the last nine face-to-face meetings in the Premier League, the Merseysiders have taken more corners than Newcastle
1.50The total number of Liverpool yellow cards is less than 1.5
Stavka has played in six of the Merseysiders' previous eight home matches
1.78Tip and bets
Last week, Liverpool scored a spectacular Champions League victory over Karabakh. It is clear that the upcoming opponent is of a different level, but the defeat of the Azerbaijanis can give the players confidence in their own capabilities. In the Premier League, the Merseysiders have not won in five rounds in a row, there is nowhere to retreat further, at this rate they may not even make it to the European Cup through the Premier League for next season. Newcastle left a lot of energy in Paris this week, it's obviously going to be difficult to play another match at a high level against a top opponent. Plus, the Magpies regularly experience difficulties in away meetings, they have won only two victories in 11 Premier League matches in other arenas. We believe that in a difficult battle, Liverpool will still score three points today.
Our betting tip is for Liverpool to win by a factor of 1.85
Bet on the total
Liverpool shone in attack against Qarabag the day before, scoring five goals and hitting as many as 32 shots on goal. Of course, it's not worth counting on it to be so easy at someone else's gate with Newcastle, but the Russians are capable of scoring their two goals, especially given the problems of the magpies in away meetings.
The second bet is Liverpool's individual goal total of more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.67
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Newcastle is not one of those teams that leaves the field without a fight, even when the game is not going on, it is unlikely that the guests will allow themselves a crushing defeat today. Moreover, Liverpool is on a four-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League, and it's important for Arne Slot's players to simply break this streak of setbacks. We expect in the betting tip that the Reds will win with a one-goal advantage.
Prediction – Liverpool win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 3.90
