LiontipsNewcastle vs Aston Villa: betting tip (cf 2.08) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Newcastle failed to open Wolverhampton's defense on the road last round, although they had a significant advantage in the game (0-0). Before that, Eddie Howe's men had a solid three-game winning streak in the Premier League. As before, the Magpies are striving to enter the top 4, approaching the upcoming game in ninth place, three points behind the coveted four. During the week in the Champions League, Newcastle confidently dealt with PSV at home (3-0) and is in seventh place by the final round, with an important game against PSG on the road ahead.
Disqualifications and injuries
Newcastle's injured list includes Kraft, Cher, Lascelles, Murphy and Livramento. Bern, Osula and Bruno are in question.
Interesting betting trends
- In 11 of Newcastle's last 15 Premier League matches, at least three goals have been scored.
- The exchange of goals was recorded in 11 of the previous 15 League matches in the Premier League.
The approximate line-up: Pope – Trippier, Tschau, Botman, Hall – Miley, Tonali, Joelinton – Barnes, Voltemade, Gordon.
Current form
Aston Villa is fighting in the Premier League with Manchester City for the second position. The townspeople have already won their match in this round and are three points ahead. Now it's the turn of the Birmingham people. In the last round, the lions sensationally lost to Everton (0:1) on their own field, they could not find approaches to reliable opponent defense. After that setback, Unai Emery's team had a difficult away match in the Europa League against Fenerbahce, in which they achieved a minimal victory with a score of 1:0. This success allowed Aston Villa to secure entry to the 1/8 finals a round before the finish.
Disqualifications and injuries
Barkley, Kamara, Alison and McGinn are injured and will not play today. Martinez's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In seven of Aston Villa's last nine Premier League matches, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- At least three goals have been scored in seven of Birmingham's previous nine Premier League matches.
Approximate composition: Bizot – Cash, Consa, Torres, Matsen–Bogarde, Thielemans–Gessan, Rogers, Buendfa –Watkins.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Bet 1st half: total more than 1.5 goals
In four of the previous six face-to-face matches, more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.
2.47The Total Yellow cardrateis more than 3.5
This bet has played out in six of the last eight face-to-face meetings in the Premier League at the Newcastle field
1.62The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Aston Villa have suffered two of their last three defeats away, conceding two goals apiece.
7.60Tip and bets
We have rivals comparable in class, as such there is no favorite in this pair. Even the schedule of their performances coincided in the last matches. The key factor in the upcoming meeting may be the venue. Newcastle have scored 23 points at home since the start of the season and have not lost in the Premier League since August last year. Aston Villa have improved a bit on the road this season, but it's worth noting that Birmingham haven't won at St. James's Park since 2005. We think that in a difficult fight, the magpies will score three points today and continue the battle for a place in the top four.
Our betting tip is that Newcastle will win by a factor of 2.08
Bet on the total
The opponents are in good shape, they don't have any big problems with creating and implementing chances, except for those matches where the opponent closes tightly at his own goal. In the eight previous face-to-face meetings, only once have Newcastle and Aston Villa failed to score at least three goals between them. We are betting more on the total in the upcoming game.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.68
Betting on corners
It seems that bookmaker analysts are somewhat overestimating Newcastle's corner capabilities. In six of the seven previous face-to-face meetings on their own field, the Magpies did not execute more than six innings from the corner flag. Based on this trend, we recommend another bet.
The betting tip is that the total number of Newcastle corners is less than 6.5 with a coefficient of 1.60
