LiontipsManchester City - Brighton: betting tip (cf 3.50) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Over the course of the season, Manchester City has noticeably improved, almost caught up with leading Arsenal in the Premier League, and got within two points of the Londoners. However, the townspeople could not stand the intense competition when there was no room for error. First, there was an optional draw with Sunderland (0-0), when the opponent defended with great strength, took under the close care of Holland, who could not create anything. Next, Josep Guardiola's team played Chelsea on their own field, led 1-0 for a long time, but in the end they still paid for playing on hold, the Londoners equalized the score at the very end (1:1).
Manchester City habitually relies on attack in their game, but they have scored only one goal in the last two matches. It's hard to count on victories against such a background. With Chelsea, who are now far from optimal shape, they managed to land only three shots on target during the match. It should also be noted that there is a decent dependence on Holand. The Norwegian has not scored in three consecutive matches, and it was during this period that the points were lost.
As a result, by the start of round 21, Manchester City are still in second place, but they are already six points behind Arsenal, and Aston Villa can only be ahead in additional indicators. The hope today is undoubtedly for the home field factor: at the Etihad, the citizens of the Premier League have eight wins in ten matches played since the beginning of the season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kovacic, Stones, Bobb and Guardiol are injured, Ait-Nuri and Marmush are in the national team. The appearance of Nico, Savinho and Dias is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In two of the last three matches involving Manchester City, a draw with an exact score of 0:0 was recorded at the end of the first half.
- In eight of the nine previous home games in the Premier League, the townspeople scored at least two goals.
- Manchester City have won eight of their last nine Premier League matches on home turf.
Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Nunesh, Husanov, Ake, O'Reilly – Silva, Rhodri, Foden – Sherki, Holand, Doku.
Current form
Brighton, it seems, will not be able to compete for European cups again. The Seagulls lack the stability to score points regularly, especially in matches against opponents comparable in class. So, in the last seven rounds alone, they have lost points twice with West Ham (1:1 and 2:2), with Sunderland (0:0). You can often see how a bold attacking game does not bring a positive result when the team leads the score, continues to go forward with great strength and concedes unnecessary goals.
Nevertheless, in the last round, Brighton confidently dealt with Burnley (2-0) and thus broke a six-game winless streak in the Premier League. We managed to win back to zero, and the opponent created practically nothing at the gates of the seagulls, struck only three shots on target.
After 20 rounds, Brighton is in tenth place in the standings, only three points behind the top 5, and the chances of competing for European Cup places are clearly not lost. At the same time, Fabian Hürzeler's team's weak away performance is alarming: only ten points scored in ten meetings.
Disqualifications and injuries
Webster, Viffer, Zimas and March are injured. Baleba is in the national team for the African Cup of Nations.
Interesting betting trends
- In only one of the last five matches has Brighton won in the first half
- The exchange of goals was in two of the three previous matches of the Seagulls
- Away in the Premier League, Brighton has failed to win in six of the last seven matches.
Approximate line–up: Verbruggen - Veltman, van Hoecke, Dank, Kadioglu – Ayari, Gomez – Gruda, Rutter, Mitoma – Welbeck.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Bet 1 half: Manchester City win
Stavka has played in the last five face-to-face matches
1.80The bet is an accurate score of 3:2
In five of the last six face-to-face meetings, Brighton have not lost by more than one goal difference.
19.00The Total Yellow cardrateis more than 2.5
In the last seven matches with the participation of Brighton, such a bet has played
1.43Manchester City's Corner WinRate
In three of the last four matches, Manchester City have taken more corners than their opponents.
1.35Tip and bets
Manchester City has had a slight decline, they failed to win in the last two rounds. In many ways, the loss of points is due to problems in attack, Holland cannot score in three consecutive matches. Undoubtedly, today, in their field, the townspeople will bet on interrupting their failures. However, it will not be easy to do this. Brighton, for all its unpredictability, plays powerfully in attack, is not afraid to go forward with great strength and is always able to surprise. The Seagulls had not lost in the previous three face-to-face meetings, and they beat the townspeople twice, including in the first round match on their own field. We do not think that at the moment Manchester City is not ready to beat the seagulls without problems with a difference of more than one goal.
Our betting tip is that Brighton will win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) for a coefficient of 1.82
Bet on the total
Brighton, no matter who they play against, relies on their attack and goes forward with great strength. Manchester City plays at home and has a solid attacking potential. There is a high probability that there will be an exchange of goals scored today. Moreover, in the ten previous face-to-face meetings, there were only two ball exchanges.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.61
Combined bid
In the previous three face-to-face meetings, Brighton did not lose to the upcoming opponent, and at least three goals were scored in these matches. It would be logical to play a combined bet today with a high chance that the seagulls will not lose again, and the game will be productive.
The betting tip is that Brighton will not lose and the total is more than 1.5 goals with a coefficient of 3.50
