Arsenal vs Brighton: betting tip (cf 3.10) and bets on the English Premier League match

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ArsenalEngland
Brighton & Hove AlbionEngland
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Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier League leader Arsenal will play Brighton on December 27. The Londoners continue to hold the top spot, but the competitors have come close, and the victories are increasingly difficult for the Gunners. Will the seagulls be able to surprise you today and leave London with their points? - the answer is in our betting tip. What reliable bets can you place on a match?

Command Analysis

Arsenal

Current form

Closer to the equator of the season, Arsenal lost their advantage in the Premier League. The Londoners are still first in the table, but the gap from the closest pursuers in the face of Manchester City and Aston Villa is two and three points, respectively. The decline in the Gunners' game most clearly reflects the defeat of direct rival Aston Villa on the road with a score of 1:2 in the 15th round. Before that, there was also a 1-1 draw with Chelsea. These matches show that Mikel Arteta's team is not doing well with top opponents right now.

Arsenal did not have the most difficult calendar in the last two rounds, but the victories over Wolverhampton (2:1) and Everton (1:0) turned out to be inconclusive, with an advantage of only one goal. There are problems in attack: three of the last four goals scored were own goals. Plus, injuries are taking their toll, even with a solid bench. Gabriel and Mosquera are especially missing, and then White is out of action again.

So far, Arsenal is playing most confidently in the Champions League, where they have not lost a single point in six rounds and are leading the standings with 18 points. Last week, the Gunners played a 1/4 League Cup final match against Crystal Palace, which had noticeably slowed down. Difficulties arose again, the game ended in a 1-1 draw, and they managed to get a ticket to the semifinals only in a penalty shootout.

Disqualifications and injuries

White, Mosquera, Domen and Gabriel are injured, while Inkapier, Martinelli and Haverza are questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • In three of the last five matches Arsenal have not won in the first half.
  • In five of the Gunners' previous seven Premier League matches, there was an exchange of goals scored.
  • Arsenal have not scored more than two goals in 12 of their previous 14 Premier League matches.

Approximate line–up: Raya - Timber, Saliba, Calafiori, Lewis–Skelly - Edegor, Subimendi, Rice – Saka, Diekeres, Trossard.

Brighton & Hove Albion

Current form

Brighton, like their upcoming opponent, is far from playing the best game right now. The seagulls cannot win for four rounds in a row, alternating defeats and draws during this period. The result at the moment is that Fabian Hürzeler's team is moving away from the European Cup zone. By the start of round 18, Brighton is in ninth place, and the gap from the top five is five points.

Characteristically, even the notorious home field factor is not helping Brighton right now. They failed to win in three previous matches at their stadium, including the world ones with the far from the most formidable West Ham (1:1) and Sunderland (0:0). Fabian Hürzeler's players are still betting on attacking, no matter who they are playing with. At the same time, the opponents have clearly adapted to this style of play, to such predictability. So, Sunderland, for example, caught seagulls on the counterattack more than once, hit more shots on target and had a good chance to achieve victory.

In general, Brighton's offensive line is not impressive at the moment. In the previous three matches, he managed to score only one goal against West Ham. At the same time, the defense has not been particularly reliable since the beginning of the season: 23 missed goals.

Disqualifications and injuries

Webster, March and Zimas are injured, Baleba is in the national team, and van Hoekke, Welbeck and Viffer are questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • In three of Brighton's last four matches, a draw was recorded in the first half.
  • In the Premier League, Brighton has not lost in 10 of the last 13 games.
  • Brighton players fouled more often than their opponents in seven of the previous nine matches.

Approximate line–up: Verbruggen – Veltman, Coppola, Boscagli, De Cuyper - Ayari, Gomez – Minte, Gruda, Mitoma – Rutter.

xG Expected goals
Arsenal
1.71xG per Match1.24
Brighton & Hove Albion

Trends

1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals

In the last six face-to-face matches, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.

1.56
1.56

The bet is an accurate score of 1:1

This score was recorded in two of the three previous face-to-face meetings.

8.50
8.50

Arsenal's Total cornerrateis more than 5.5

Arsenal have taken more than five corners in six of the last eight face-to-face meetings.

1.51
1.51

The Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 3.5

Stavka has played in 9 of Arsenal's last 14 matches

1.65
1.65

Tip and bets

TipBrighton with a head start (+1.5)
1.75

The opponents are not approaching the upcoming match at the peak of their form. Arsenal holds the first place in the table, but victories even over not the strongest opponents are difficult, serious losses in the squad affect the quality of the game. Brighton cannot win in four rounds in a row, the usual attacking style of play is not beneficial, they only managed to score once in the previous three meetings. Against this background, it is unlikely that one of the opponents will win a landslide victory with an advantage of several goals today. Wolverhampton and Everton lost to the Gunners with a difference of only one goal, the Seagulls are definitely not weaker in their potential than these teams, plus, in two of the three previous face-to-face matches, they completely took away points from the Londoners. Taking into account the bookmakers' odds, we recommend betting on the guests.

Our betting tip is for Brighton to win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) by a factor of 1.75

Did you like the tips?
Tiptotal less than 2.5 goals
2.27

Bet on the total

Recently, you can see tangible problems in attack for both Arsenal and Brighton. The Gunners had not scored more than one goal in the previous two matches, and the Seagulls had scored only one goal in three games. In addition, in the last three face-to-face meetings, more than two goals have not been scored. It begs to bet on a total of less.

The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.27

Combined bid

The Seagulls are not the most comfortable opponent for the Gunners, with a 1-1 draw recorded in two of the three previous face-to-face meetings.:1. Brighton has presented surprises more than once during the season, which we cannot rule out today, given the problems in the game of the Londoners.

The betting tip is that Brighton will not lose and the total is less than 4.5 goals with a coefficient of 3.10

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips23
% of profit-0.21%
Win percentage52.17%
Average coefficient1.8
Wins52.17%  (12)
Refunds8.70%  (2)
Loses39.13%  (9)
Total tips452
% of profit16.93%
Win percentage45.13%
Average coefficient1.91
Wins45.13%  (204)
Refunds8.41%  (38)
Loses46.46%  (210)