LiontipsNewcastle - Chelsea: betting tip (cf 3.10) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
It is not easy for Newcastle to combine performances in several tournaments during the season. At the moment, the Magpies are noticeably sagging just in the Premier League, where after 16 rounds they have only 22 points and only 12th place in the table. At the same time, it cannot be said that the situation is unsolvable: Chelsea, who closes the top four, is only six points away. Obviously, the upcoming match is important for the hosts in terms of the prospects of competing for a place in the Champions League.
In the last round, Newcastle lost 0-1 to Sunderland on the road, although before that they were on a four-match winless streak in the Premier League. After that setback, the Magpies pulled out a difficult victory against Fulham in the League Cup (2-1) and made it to the semi-finals of the tournament. It should be noted that Eddie Howe's team is traditionally strong in its field. Since the beginning of the season, eight matches have been played in the Premier League, in which they managed to score 16 points, which is the sixth figure in the Premier League.
In the Champions League, in the sixth round, Newcastle parted ways with Bayer Leverkusen (2:2), and led the score until the 88th minute. With 10 points in the main European club tournament, the magpies occupy the 12th place and do not lose hope of breaking into the top eight, which they are two points behind.
Disqualifications and injuries
Osula, Kraft, Trippier, Botman, Bern and Livramento will not play due to injuries. Pope's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of Newcastle's last five matches, a draw was recorded in the first half.
- The exchange of goals was in four of the previous five matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in eight of Newcastle's last nine Premier League games.
Approximate line–up: Ramsdale – Ashby, Tschau, Cher, Hall – Joelinton, Tonali, Bruno - Elanga, Voltemade, Gordon.
Current form
Chelsea, like the upcoming opponent, plays according to the season with decent fluctuations in the conditions of a busy calendar. So, after a bright home victory over Barcelona (3:0) and a draw with Arsenal (1:1) in the Premier League, a series of three matches without wins followed, and the opponents were not the most difficult: Leeds, Bournemouth, Atalanta.
The aristocrats interrupted a series of not very bright matches in the previous round of the Premier League, when they confidently dealt with Everton on their own field (2:0). This was followed by a 3-1 away win in the League Cup over Cardiff, which allowed them to advance to the semi-finals of the tournament. In the Premier League, Chelsea closes the top four with 28 points after 16 rounds. The gap from the third Aston Villa is already five points, and the gap from the closest pursuers is only two points. It should be noted that in the two previous away matches in the Premier League, the wards of Enzo Maresca did not win.
In the Champions League, Chelsea, like their upcoming opponent, has 10 points, 13th place and does not lose the chance to finish in the top eight. It should be noted that in the main European club tournament, the aristocrats are weak at home, scoring only one point in three matches played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Colville, Lavia, Delap, Essugo and Estevao are injured and will not help their team today.
Interesting betting trends
- In the previous six away matches, taking into account all tournaments, Chelsea scored only two victories.
- Chelsea have not conceded in the first half in six of their last seven Premier League games.
- In the last four matches, Chelsea players have been offside less often than their opponents.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – Gusteau, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella – Fernandez, Caicedo – Neto, Palmer, Garnacho – Joao Pedro.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Bet 1 half: Newcastle will not lose
In the previous ten face-to-face matches, Newcastle did not concede in the opening 45 minutes.
1.38The Total Newcastle cornerrateis less than 5.5
In 11 of the last 12 face-to-face meetings on their own field, Newcastle did not execute more than five innings from the corner flag.
1.83The bet is an accurate score of 2:0
With this score, the Magpies won the last two head-to-head matches.
14.50The totalrateof Newcastle yellow cards is more than 1.5
Stavka has played in six of the seven previous face-to-face meetings on the Newcastle field in the Premier League.
1.81Tip and bets
The opponents are having problems with the composition, they cannot withstand a busy schedule of games, and they are not stable. Both the Magpies and the aristocrats had successfully played in the League Cup the day before, and there was no way to prepare for the upcoming game in a calm atmosphere. In general, in such situations, the chances of winning today are largely equal, which is reflected by the line of bookmakers. At the same time, Newcastle has an important home field factor, where Eddie Howe's team has not lost nine matches in a row. Of course, we also remember that Chelsea have not won at St. James's Park since 2021, and in the previous two matches at this arena they lost with the same score 0:2.
Our betting tip is for Newcastle to win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 2.01
Bet on the total
In home matches, Newcastle plays from a position of strength and does not allow opponents to create much at their own goal. During their nine-match unbeaten streak, the Magpies conceded more than one goal only once. We don't think Chelsea will have many attacking chances in a game against an uncomfortable opponent.
The second bet is Chelsea's individual goal total of less than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.76
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
In the last two face-to-face meetings on their own field, Newcastle won with an accurate score of 2:0. It cannot be said that there is a significant difference in class between the rivals so that a crushing victory can be expected. We expect that the hosts will win in a difficult fight with a difference of one or two goals.
The betting tip is a victory for Newcastle with an advantage of one or two goals with a coefficient of 3.10
