LiontipsEverton vs Arsenal: betting tip (cf 3.10) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
In the last round, Everton once again demonstrated that they are not ready to fight on equal terms with the best representatives of the Premier League on a permanent basis. In London, the Toffees lost 0-2 to Chelsea, conceded two goals in the first half, and scored only two shots on goal during the match. If we look at the recent defeats of Liverpool, we will see failures with Manchester City, Tottenham, Newcastle, and they invariably lost by at least two goals. Obviously, it's not possible to reach a new level, but the composition is weak for this.
Nevertheless, David Moyes' team is firmly established among the strong middlemen of the Premier League. In 16 rounds, we managed to score 14 points, which allow us to occupy the ninth place in the table. In principle, finishing in the top 10 can be considered a solid success for the toffees.
Everton are playing their home matches with confidence as usual, scoring 14 points on their own field. However, at the same time, it is impossible to show anything against serious opponents even at home: crushing defeats from Tottenham (0:3) and Newcastle (1:4).
Disqualifications and injuries
Brantwaite, Rehl and Coleman are injured. Gaye and Ndiaye are in the national team, while Dewsbury Hall and Grealish are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Everton have not won in the first half in three of their last five matches.
- In five of the previous six matches involving Everton in the Premier League, at least one of the teams did not score goals.
- In 14 of the last 17 home matches in the Premier League, the Toffees did not concede.
The approximate line-up: Pickford – O'Brien, Keen, Tarkovsky, Mikolenko – Garner, Iroegbunam – Dibling, Alcaraz, McNeil – Barry.
Current form
Arsenal has lost a solid advantage over its competitors in the fight for the top spot and has put itself in a difficult position. On the eve of the start of Round 17, the Gunners are only two points ahead of Manchester City and three points ahead of Aston Villa. In the last four rounds, Mikel Arteta's team has lost points twice, and they did it in matches with their pursuers on the road: a 1-1 draw with Chelsea and a 1-2 defeat against Aston Villa.
We managed to beat Wolverhampton 1-1 in the last round, but the victory raised a lot of questions. All the goals in that meeting were scored at the ends, and the Londoners themselves did not hit the goal, the opponent scored two own goals. Obviously, Arsenal is currently in a slump in the Premier League, even with the depth of the squad, it is not possible to fully express itself due to injuries to many players.
Despite their shaky performances in the Premier League, the Gunners perform flawlessly in the Champions League. In six rounds, they have not allowed themselves a single misfire, with 18 points they are the sole leader. The defensive play is impressive – just one missed goal. In the last away game, Arsenal defeated Brugge 3-0 on the road, before that there was a 3-1 home victory over Bayern Munich.
Disqualifications and injuries
White, Havertz, Mosquera and Doman are injured, Gabriel and Subimendi are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Arsenal have not lost in 20 of the last 22 away matches in the Premier League.
- In eight of the previous nine matches, the Gunners had not lost by offside
- Arsenal have failed to win in the first half in three of their last five games.
Approximate line–up: Raya – Timber, Saliba, Inkapye, Kalafyori - Edegor, Merino, Rice – Saka, Diekeresh, Trossard.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
1st halfbet: draw
Stavka has played in three of the last four face-to-face matches
2.23Arsenal's Total Cornerrateis less than 6.5
This bet has been successful in 12 of the 15 previous face-to-face matches at Everton in the Premier League.
1.54The bet is an accurate score of 0:2
Arsenal have scored two of their last three wins, scoring two goals apiece.
8.70The Total Yellow cardrateis more than 3.5
In six of the seven previous face-to-face meetings on the Everton pitch in the Premier League, the referees have shown at least four warnings.
1.82Tip and bets
Arsenal, due to the frequent loss of points, got into a difficult situation, allowed Manchester City and Aston Villa to get close to themselves. Today, the Gunners have nowhere to retreat, they need to score three points, otherwise there will be no trace of their advantage over the competition. It's still too early to talk about a serious gaming crisis, because things are going more than well in the Champions League. This time, Mikel Arteta's team had a whole week to prepare for the match, which is clearly in their favor, given the busy schedule before that. Everton regularly fails in matches against opponents who are superior in class throughout the season, gaining points mainly with the average players or with outsiders. Tottenham and Newcastle took away confident victories from Liverpool, and an extremely motivated Arsenal is quite capable of doing this.
Our prediction is that Arsenal will win with an Asian handicap (-1) by a factor of 2.02
Bet on the total
In the previous round, Everton played Chelsea, after the first half they lost 0:2 in the score, but they could not win back. The thing is that it's hard for the Toffees to play number one, their element is fast counterattacks and reliable defense. We don't think the hosts will score today, and the Gunners are unlikely to score more than two goals alone, it's important for them to just score three points, and not smash the opponent at any cost.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.76
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Taking into account all the tournaments, Arsenal won five of the previous seven matches. It should be noted that in three cases it was possible to win with an advantage of more than one ball. We expect the Gunners to achieve a comfortable victory today and avoid a nervous ending.
The betting tip is Arsenal's victory with an advantage of two or three goals with a coefficient of 3.10
