LiontipsChelsea vs Arsenal: betting tip (cf 4.00) and bets on the English Premier League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Chelsea posted a three-game winning streak in the Premier League and moved up to second place in the table. The gap from Arsenal on the eve of the start of round 13 is six points, while Manchester City and Aston Villa are one and two points behind. Accordingly, a victory in the upcoming meeting can help reduce the gap from the Gunners to three points and really outline their claims to the first position.
In general, the recent successes of the Blues in the Premier League should not be overestimated. They had far from the most difficult calendar: Tottenham, who were experiencing problems (1-0), outsiders Wolverhampton (3-0) and Burnley (2-0). Before this series of three victories, the aristocrats lost at home to Sunderland (1:2), which is characterized by a clear organization of the game in defense. There is a match ahead against Arsenal, which has complete order in defense, and the level of players is higher than that of the cats.
Last week, Chelsea confidently beat Barcelona 3-0 on home turf in the Champions League. Again, it's worth noting that the Catalans let their opponents have a lot at their gates and also played the whole second half with ten players. Enzo Mareschi's team is in seventh place in the standings and continues to fight for a top-8 finish.
Disqualifications and injuries
Colville, Essugo and Lavia will not play due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- Chelsea have only two defeats in their last 16 home matches in the Premier League.
- Chelsea have not conceded more than one goal in seven of their previous nine Premier League matches.
- In the last six matches, Chelsea players have scored more shots on target than their opponents.
Approximate composition: Sanchez – Gusteau, Chalobah, Fofana, Cucurella – James, Caicedo – Neto, Fernandez, Garnacho – Joao Pedro.
Current form
Arsenal conducted a decent transfer campaign in the summer in order not only to strengthen their already weak squad, but also to have ample opportunities for rotation and avoid a situation where the departure of several key performers leads to failures. Now, even with injuries, the Gunners can safely play at a high level in all competitions and are betting on maximum results in both the Premier League and the Champions League.
In the Premier League, Mikel Arteta's team lost the first place to Liverpool only at the start, but then, due to their stability and the misfires of their competitors, they confidently topped the table and do not plan to leave the first line. Today is an important match for them, a victory over one of their direct competitors will strengthen their position as the undisputed leader. After an unexpected 2-2 draw with Sunderland, the Gunners did not leave a single chance for Tottenham in the London Derby (4-1).
Arsenal passed a real test of strength in the Champions League this week. In London, Mikel Arteta's team played against Bayern, which had not lost in all tournaments before. The Gunners won 3-1 quite to the point and are now the sole leader in the table with a maximum of 15 points in the asset after five rounds.
Disqualifications and injuries
Jesus, Havertz and Gabriel will not play due to injuries. The entry of Diekeresch and Trossard into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In eight of Arsenal's last ten Premier League matches, no more than three goals have been scored.
- In the last 20 away matches in the Premier League, Arsenal have suffered only one defeat.
- In four of the last five matches, Arsenal's players have been offside more often than their opponents.
Approximate line–up: Raya – Timber, Saliba, Mosquera, Calafiori - Rice, Subimendi, Eze – Saka, Merino, Martinelli.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
Bet 1 half: Arsenal win
In two of the previous three face-to-face matches, Arsenal won in the opening 45 minutes.
2.75Chelsea's Corner WinRate
In six of the last eight face-to-face meetings at home in the Premier League, Chelsea have won on corners.
2.24The bet is an exact score of 0:1
Arsenal have scored two of their last four wins in head-to-head matches with this score
7.50Chelsea's Yellow Card VictoryBet
Arsenal have lost six consecutive matches on yellow cards.
2.12Tip and bets
In the London derby, the bookmakers give Arsenal the advantage, even though Chelsea are approaching the match on a three-game winning streak. The thing is that the Gunners play more consistently than the aristocrats on the course, in fact they allowed themselves only one unnecessary misfire, having drawn with Sunderland. Plus, Mikel Arteta's team passed a real test of strength by beating Bayern Munich in the Champions League. Of course, the seniors have won against Barcelona, but remember that the Catalans played the whole half with ten players, so you shouldn't overestimate that success. Separately, we note that Chelsea most often has problems in confrontations with opponents who are clearly acting defensively, namely Arsenal, which has only six goals conceded in the Premier League. We give the advantage to the guests when choosing a bet on the London derby.
Our betting tip is that Arsenal will win by a factor of 2.26
Bet on the total
The upcoming match is of great tournament importance, as the leaders of the Premier League are playing against each other. In such a battle, no one will take an unjustified risk, attacking with large forces, forgetting about the defense, and this is not the style of the current Arsenal and Chelsea. In the previous two head-to-head matches, more than two goals were not scored, it is unlikely that a scoring extravaganza will take place today.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.84
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
We have the leaders of the Premier League in front of us, there is no need to talk about a significant difference in class and expect a crushing victory in such a battle. Arsenal have four wins in the previous six derbies, and two of them were scored with a one-goal advantage. We expect the Gunners to achieve a minimal victory today.
Prediction – Arsenal win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.00
