In the Moscow derby on October 25, as part of the 12th round of the Premier League, CSKA will host Spartak on its field. The red-and-whites were stronger than the army in the last two face-to-face meetings and today they play the role of the favorite in the line of bookmakers. We are looking into the betting tip of whether Carcedo's team will be able to score three points and beat Dynamo Moscow, who lost their match in this round. What are the derby bets to pay attention to?
Command Analysis
CSKA Moscow
Current form
For 10 rounds in the Premier League, CSKA went undefeated. An impressive streak was interrupted in the last round, when they were defeated by Dynamo Moscow (1:3). In that encounter, the score was 1-1 until the 88th minute, and it looked like the derby would end in a draw, but the Army team blew it by conceding three goals. In fact, they slowed down noticeably in the second 45 minutes, and they didn't shoot a single shot in the first half. The blue and white team deservedly scored three points.
CSKA still has no defeats on its own field: four wins and three losses in the RPL. At the same time, even at home, the Army had unnecessary point losses in the matches against Rostov (0:0) and Rubin (1:1). Against Spartak at home, it cannot be said that CSKA has a tangible advantage: only one victory in the last five face-to-face meetings.
Undoubtedly, it is worth noting the successful work of Dmitry Igdisamov. Under his leadership, the Army team is approaching the upcoming match in fourth place with 22 points. And this is taking into account the fact that due to injuries to Moises, Gayic and Barinov, we had to look for new options during the season. Today, the derby will be played without Gonda, who has too many yellow cards.
Disqualifications and injuries
Akinfeev, Moises, Gayich and Barinov are injured, Gonda has too many yellow cards. Alves' entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In three of the last five matches, CSKA has won in the first half.
CSKA players were offside less often than their opponents in 9 of the 11 previous matches
The Army team has not suffered a single defeat in their field since the beginning of the season in the RPL
After losing the derby to Dynamo Moscow (1:2), Juan Carlos Carcedo's team scored 10 points in the next four rounds. During this period, there was only one unsuccessful match against the Wings of the Soviets (1:1), where they played ten, but at the same time almost snatched the victory. In general, Spartak took advantage of a not very difficult calendar and achieved the expected victories over Rostov (3:0), Fakel (1:0) and Rubin (3:0). Reliable defensive actions were added to the usual powerful game in attack: only one missed ball, and even that was from the Wings of the Soviets when they were outnumbered.
Spartak is in third place with 23 points for the upcoming match, Zenit is one point ahead, and Dynamo Moscow has two points more. At the same time, the blue and white team lost their match in this round, because today, if Carcedo wins, the team will rise at least one line higher.
Carcedo knows perfectly well how to play against CSKA, since Spartak was stronger in the last two face-to-face meetings: they won the RPL and the Cup with a minimum score of 1:0. As you can see, it was possible to achieve success then due to reliable actions in defense, something that at the moment the red-whites are all right with.
Disqualifications and injuries
Martins and Zorin are still injured.
Interesting betting trends
Spartak's winless streak, taking into account all tournaments, is five matches
In three of Spartak's last five matches, there was no goal exchange
In four of the five previous matches involving the red and white, more than two offsides were recorded
Even though we have to play away today, Spartak is the favorite among the bookmakers, which is worth agreeing with. CSKA lost to Dynamo Moscow the day before, looked frankly weak in the second half, couldn't maintain a high tempo, and practically didn't threaten other people's goals. The red and white have no problems with this, they are able to increase their pace at any moment, put the squeeze on the opponent.
Spartak was stronger in the last two face-to-face meetings, and won both times without conceding a single goal. Carcedo's men have improved their defensive reliability significantly, conceding only one goal in the previous four rounds, and Krylia Sovetov scored the most goals. Spartak's attack has been in perfect order throughout the season, and Barko and Ugalda have been doing a lot of creative work. Both are in excellent playing condition right now. We believe that at the moment the red and white are superior to CSKA in terms of quality of play and are capable of taking three points in the derby.
Our betting tip is for Spartak to win by a factor of 2.28
When choosing a total bet, we are based on the latest results of Spartak, which has noticeably increased its reliability in defense and missed only one goal in the last four rounds. Plus, in the previous two head-to-head matches, no more than one goal was scored. It's hardly worth expecting high performance in the derby.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.15
Betting on corners
Neither CSKA nor Spartak are outstanding in terms of corners. In the 11 previous matches involving the Army team, more than 10 corners were recorded only three times. The red and white have a total bet of less than 10.5 corners played in 5 of the last 7 games.
The betting tip is a total of less than 10.5 corners with a coefficient of 1.57
Liontips
Vladislav Torop