LiontipsMatteo Berrettini - Lerner Tien: prediction and bets on the ATP Metz match
Command Analysis
Berrettini secured a place in the quarterfinals of the competition in Metz. Following a landslide victory over Quentin Gali in the first round, the Italian defeated Alexander Vukic in the second round. After winning a tense first set in a tiebreak, Matteo brought the match to victory in the second game (7-6, 6-3). For Berrettini, the upcoming quarterfinals will be the fifth this season.
Tien made it to the quarterfinals of the Metz tournament, beating Moez Echargi. The American won a hard-fought first set in a tiebreak, and in the second game he was more confident (7-6, 6-3). At the start of the competition, Lerner defeated Hugo Blanchet in two sets. Thus, Tien made it to his fifth quarterfinal this season.
Trends
Bet 1st set - Berrettini wins
Berrettini won the 1st set in 4 of the last 5 matches
1.84The 1st setbetis a total of more than 9.5 games
In 3 of Berrettini's last 5 matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
1.56Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
This is how events unfolded in 3 of Berrettini's last 5 matches.
2.25Tip and bets
Berrettini is slowly returning to his former condition. For the second tournament in a row, the Italian reaches the quarterfinals - recall that at the end of October he reached this stage at competitions in Vienna, where he beat Popyrin and Norri in the tournament bracket. We think Matteo has a good chance of playing in the semifinals in Metz.
Our prediction is that Berrettini will win by a factor of 1.89
