LiontipsSebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka: betting tip and bets for the ATP Basel match
Command Analysis
Baez is going through a difficult playing period. He is currently ranked 43rd in the world. At a recent tournament in Brussels, he lost in the first round to Valentin Roye. The hard court game is especially unfortunate for him, where he has scored only three wins with nine losses this year. In Basel last season, Sebastian lost to Felix Auger-Alliassim in the first round.
Opelka successfully played in the qualification for the tournament in Basel. The former 17th racket of the world scored two victories, including in an incredibly intense three-set match against Mark Brunold. Reilly has 14 wins and 11 losses on hard court this season. It should be noted that the American had previously played in Basel only once - in 2019, he managed to reach the semifinals on the local courts.
Trends
The 1st setbetis a total of more than 9.5 games
In 4 of Opelka's last 5 matches, more than 9.5 games were played in the first set.
1.43Bet Effectiveness of sets: 1>2
According to this scenario, events developed in 3 of the last 5 matches of Opelka
2.30Tip and bets
Opelka played confidently in qualifying, defeating Brunold and Van de Sandschulp. Of course, Reilly is the favorite for the upcoming match. Baez is still more of a professional grounder, but we still think that the Argentine will fight - given his poor statistics in recent matches, most likely, Sebastian, trying to fix the situation, will impose a fight on the American.
Our prediction is that Baez will win with a handicap of (+3) games for a coefficient of 1.88
