On October 18, Fulham will play Arsenal in the London Derby. The stubborn struggle could be seen in the last four face-to-face confrontations, when the rivals won one victory each and twice dispersed in peace. Are the cottagers ready to put up a decent resistance to the Premier League leader today? - you can find out from our betting tip. Should I make a bold bet on the underdog?
Command Analysis
Fulham
Current form
In the seven rounds played, Fulham have put only eight points in their piggy bank, with which they are in 14th place in the table. The result is far from what the fans and the management expected. Nevertheless, summer residents are able to compete for the top 10, which they have recently accustomed everyone to.
The London team is playing too unpredictably this season. So, after two consecutive wins over Leeds (1-0) and Brentford (3-1), defeats from Aston Villa and Bournemouth followed with the same score. 1:3. It is difficult to unambiguously identify the causes of failures in betting tips. Let's just note that there are problems with the lineup in the offensive line due to injuries to key forwards Rodrigo Muniz and Raulf Jimenez.
Among the positive aspects, successful performances in the League Cup should be highlighted. In this tournament, Marc Silva's team defeated Cambridge United (1-0) and advanced to the 1/8 finals. As usual, Fulham have been posing the greatest threat to their rivals on their own field for several seasons now. In the Premier League, the cottagers have not lost at home (two wins and a draw), they scored seven out of eight points at Craven Cottage.
Disqualifications and injuries
Muniz and Tete will miss the London Derby due to injuries. Jimenez and Lukic are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In three consecutive matches, the cottagers played to a draw in the first half.
The exchange of goals scored has been recorded in three of Fulham's previous five matches.
In 11 of the last 13 matches at home, Fulham have conceded
By the start of the eighth round, Arsenal are in the first position in the table and are clearly betting on maintaining their leadership. Of course, it was not without a bit of luck, as Liverpool suffered two defeats in a row in the previous two rounds. At the same time, it should be noted that the Gunners played well in this segment, taking advantage of the competitor's misfires. First, Newcastle managed to win 2-1 on the road, and then Mikel Arteta's team dealt with West Ham (2-0) more confidently at home.
The key to Arsenal's many successes is a reliable defensive game. The team has only three goals conceded, which is the best record in the Premier League. The Gunners allowed themselves to lose points only in confrontations with top rivals: a 0:1 defeat by Liverpool and a 1-1 draw with Manchester City.
Arsenal's start in the Champions League was also successful. In two rounds, the Londoners defeated Athletic Bilbao and Greek Olympiacos with the same score 2-0. With six points in the overall standings, the team is in fifth place. As you can see, the defense is also reliable here – not a single missed ball.
Disqualifications and injuries
Jesus, Havertz, Madueke and Edegor will not play today due to injuries. The ink is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In three of the last five matches Arsenal have won in the first half.
In six of Arsenal's previous seven matches, no more than three offsides were recorded.
No more than three goals have been scored in eight of the Gunners' nine previous Premier League matches.
Arsenal have not conceded more than one goal in 14 of their last 15 away games in the Premier League.
Arsenal is deservedly the favorite in the upcoming London derby. Of course, the Gunners do not always achieve confident victories with a crushing score, but they are noticeably superior to Fulham in terms of organization and reliable defensive actions. Summer residents play with decent fluctuations, they can hold individual fights at a high level, but there is not enough stability. In attack, Fulham have losses in the squad, it is far from the fact that Jimenez has fully recovered, this also does not speak in favor of the hosts. We expect Arsenal to achieve a confident victory by taking advantage of the opponent's problems and unstable play.
Our betting tip is that Arsenal will win with an Asian handicap (-1) by a factor of 1.91
Arsenal conceded only three goals in seven rounds, plus they scored zero in the Champions League in the opening two rounds. Obviously, the cottagers will have problems distinguishing themselves at least once today. Moreover, Fulham has losses in attack.
The second bet is that Fulham will not score with a coefficient of 2.14
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Arsenal are approaching the upcoming game on a four-game winning streak. It is characteristic that in three of the four victorious matches, the Gunners won with a two-meat advantage. We expect them to win a comfortable victory today and there will be no nervous ending.
The betting tip is for Arsenal to win by two or three goals with a 3.00 coefficient.
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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