Manchester City - Burnley: betting tip (cf 4.90) and bets on the English Premier League match

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BurnleyEngland
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Manchester City - Burnley
Manchester City will host Burnley in the sixth round of the Premier League on September 27. The townspeople are approaching the upcoming game on a four-game winless streak, taking into account all the tournaments, and do not plan to rest on their laurels, as they are only in ninth place in the Premier League standings. Will the maroon ones be able to thwart Manchester City's plans today? - the answer is in our betting tip. Roman Pavlyuchenko, the star expert of the website, also shares his bet on the match

Command Analysis

Manchester City

Current form

At the start of the Premier League season, Manchester City put themselves in a difficult position by losing two matches in a row to Tottenham (0:2) and Brighton (1:2). These failures now leave no room for mistakes, because Liverpool is going without loss on points, and the citizens face maximum challenges, for which a serious transfer campaign has been conducted.

Gradually, the renovated Manchester City is gaining momentum. In the previous round, we managed to take away points from Arsenal in London (1:1). Moreover, in that meeting, until the 93rd minute, Josep Guardiola's team led 1-0 and had a chance to take all three points. However, after Holand scored an early goal, he had to defend a lot, and the townspeople practically did not create any chances at the other gate. With seven points scored, they are in ninth place in the table by the start of the sixth round.

So far, things have been going well for Manchester City in other tournaments. So, in the Champions League, they managed to beat Napoli (2-0) at the start, when the opponent played ten of them for most of the match. In the 1/16 League Cup finals, playing outside the main squad, the townspeople achieved a 2-0 away victory over Huddersfield.

Disqualifications and injuries

Ait-Nuri, Marmush, Kovacic, Sherki, Phillips and Khusanov are injured. Holland is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • In four of the last five matches, Manchester City have won in the opening 45 minutes.
  • Manchester City have won six of their previous seven Premier League matches
  • The citizens scored at least two goals on their own field in six of the last eight matches in the Premier League.

Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Lewis, Dias, Guardiola, O'Reilly – Rhodri – Bobb, B.Silva, Reynders, Doku – Foden.

Burnley

Current form

Burnley does not have sufficient resources to set maximum goals for itself. The main goal of the team is to keep its registration in the Premier League, so as not to return ignominiously to the Championship once again. So far, the maroon ones are coping with their task, taking points where possible, where they are not the most formidable opponents.

Scott Parker's team scored four points in five rounds played. This result allows Burnley to occupy the 16th place outside the relegation zone. The Maroon team scored points against Sunderland (2:0) and Nottingham Forest (1:1), both matches took place at the home arena. In the remaining meetings with Tottenham, Manchester United and Liverpool, the chances of scoring points were initially minimal, and Burnley failed to create a sensation. At the same time, we note that the modest team proved to be a worthy resistance to the red Devils and the Merseysiders, losing by one goal (2:3 and 0:1, respectively).

In the League Cup, Burnley beat Derby County 2-1 in the 1/32 finals. Next, in the 1/8 finals, the maroon unexpectedly lost to Cardiff (1:2) and left the tournament.

Disqualifications and injuries

Amdouni, Roberts, and Beyer are in Burnley's infirmary. Bruun Larsen is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • Burnley have been at odds with their rivals in the first half in three of their last five matches.
  • In four consecutive matches, Burnley has not lost by fouls.
  • Burnley had taken fewer corners than their opponents in four of the previous five matches.

Approximate composition: Dubravka – Walker, Ekdal, Esteve, Laurent, Hartman –Chauna, Cullen, Ugochukwu, Anthony –Foster.

xG Expected goals
Manchester City
0.85xG per Match1.07
Burnley

Trends

The totalrateof Manchester City yellow cards is more than 0.5

Manchester City players have received at least one yellow card in seven of the last eight face-to-face meetings in the Premier League.

1.55
1.55

The Total cornerbetis less than 10.5

This bet took place in four of the five previous matches involving Manchester City

1.61
1.61

Burnley'sbetwon't score

In eight of the last ten face-to-face meetings, Burnley did not score goals.

1.86
1.86

The bet is an accurate score of 3:0

Manchester City have scored two of their last seven personal wins with this score.

6.90
6.90

Bet Goals in both halves – yes

The bet played in three face-to-face matches in a row

1.42
1.42

Tip and bets

TipManchester City with a head start (-2)
1.85

Manchester City has won only two matches in five rounds, and Guardiola's team has no right to lose points against a noticeably inferior opponent. There has been some progress in the game, although there is still a lot of work to do. The main thing is that the results have come: wins over Napoli, a draw away from Arsenal. Burnley's squad level is decently not up to the top rivals in the Premier League, due to high dedication and good organization of the game in defense, it is periodically possible to avoid defeats, but nothing more. The townspeople have an excellent selection of performers in attack, there is no need to talk about fatigue after the cup game, since the main squad was not involved with Huddersfield. We believe that the hosts will easily take three points today.

Our prediction is that Manchester City will win with an Asian handicap (-2) by a factor of 1.85

Did you like the tips?
TipAt least one won't score
1.78

Bet on the total

Burnley is a convenient opponent for Manchester City: since 2018, the Maroon team, taking into account all tournaments, have consistently suffered defeats in personal meetings. Moreover, in the previous 10 face-to-face confrontations, Burnley scored goals in only two matches. There is a high probability that there will be no goal exchange today.

The second bet is that at least one will not score with a coefficient of 1.78

A bet on the exact difference in the bill

Taking into account the home field factor and the tangible advantage in the class of Manchester City, there is a way to get a comfortable victory today. In two of the eight previous head-to-head matches, the townspeople won by a three-goal margin, which we are waiting for this time.

Prediction – Manchester City will win with a three-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.90

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips23
% of profit-0.21%
Win percentage52.17%
Average coefficient1.8
Wins52.17%  (12)
Refunds8.70%  (2)
Loses39.13%  (9)
Total tips452
% of profit16.93%
Win percentage45.13%
Average coefficient1.91
Wins45.13%  (204)
Refunds8.41%  (38)
Loses46.46%  (210)