On September 21, Sunderland will play Aston Villa in the fifth round of the Premier League. The guests have not won a single victory since the beginning of the season, will they be able to take three points in a duel with a rival inferior in class today? We recommend that you review our betting tip and choose the best rates
Command Analysis
Sunderland
Current form
Sunderland has made a strong bid to gain a foothold in the Premier League. The wards of Regis Le Brice scored seven points in four rounds, with which they occupy a high seventh place. Interestingly, the only defeat the team suffered was from Burnley, with whom they played together last season in the Championship (0:2). The Black Cats have faultless performances on their own field so far: six points scored in two matches against West Ham (3-0) and Brentford (2-1). In the last round, Sunderland scored away from Crystal Palace (0-0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Hjelde, Mandl, Sirkin will not play due to injuries. Alese, Ballard, and O'nayen are questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In seven of Sunderland's ten previous matches, at least one team did not score goals.
In four of the last five matches involving Sunderland, an accurate score of 0-0 was recorded in the first half.
Aston Villa has become one of the main disappointments of the start of the season in the Premier League. In four rounds played, Birmingham have not won a single victory, scored only two points and are in 19th place in the relegation zone. It's hard to explain the reasons for these failures, because there hasn't been a single top contender on the calendar yet. Unai Emery's men have the biggest problems in attack, because they haven't scored a single goal yet. In the last round, the lions went away with Everton (0-0). The team crashed out of the League Cup last week, losing in a penalty shootout to Brentford, but the reserve team played there. The bet is clearly on today's game.
Disqualifications and injuries
Garcia, Onana and Thielemans will miss the meeting due to injuries. Lindelof is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In four of the last five matches, Aston Villa have not won in the first half.
No more than two goals have been scored in seven of Birmingham's last eight Premier League matches.
The standings force Aston Villa to play only to win today, there is nowhere else to retreat. In the League Cup, Unai Emery used the reserve team, obviously, the bet is on the upcoming match, in order to take three points. Sunderland has already managed to prove itself well, but in general, the selection of performers is noticeably inferior to Birmingham, and it is unlikely that the black cats are ready to keep such a high level at a distance. We expect the lions to get their first victory today.
Our betting tip is for Aston Villa to win by a factor of 2.20
Aston Villa have not scored a single goal in four rounds. Sunderland is doing a good job defensively and is unlikely to allow itself a crushing defeat, and obviously the black cats won't even risk playing open football on their own field. We don't expect more than two goals scored in a match.
The second bet is a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.69
A bet on yellow cards
Let's note the promising trend for yellow cards. Aston Villa have not lost by the number of warnings in 9 of their last 11 away matches in the Premier League. Based on these statistics, we recommend another option for betting.
Prediction – Aston Villa will not lose on yellow cards with a coefficient of 1.62
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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