Arsenal vs Manchester City: betting tip (cf 5.80) and bets on the English Premier League match

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ArsenalEngland
Manchester CityEngland
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Arsenal - Manchester City
The central event of Sunday, September 21 in the English Premier League will be the battle between Arsenal and Manchester City in the fifth round. The Gunners have not lost five face-to-face matches in a row to the townspeople and today they are the bookmakers' favorite. Will Guardiola's players be able to break an unsuccessful series of games with the Londoners? - the answer is in our betting tip. What are the best bets to choose for a principled confrontation?

Command Analysis

Arsenal

Current form

Arsenal have noticeably strengthened their squad in the summer, and now they have the necessary depth, which the Londoners lacked to compete for trophies in all the tournaments they participate in. At the moment, injuries to several key players are not affecting the game and results very negatively. Plus, almost all the newcomers have successfully integrated into Mikel Arteta's tactical formations, and Diekeres is already scoring.

In the Premier League, Arsenal scored nine points in four rounds. The result is not bad, but still the Gunners lost the key match at the start. There was a goalless draw away from Liverpool until the 83rd minute, but the opponent was able to score and won 1-0. While the Merseysiders are without losing points in the Premier League, respectively, the Gunners must achieve maximum results in all games in order to claim the trophy. The failure with Liverpool did not unsettle the Londoners. In the next round, they confidently dealt with Nottingham Forest 3-0 on their own field. Subimendi scored a double in that match, and Diekeres scored another goal.

Arsenal made a successful start to the Champions League this week. The Londoners had a difficult trip to Athletic Bilbao, where it is always difficult to play. The Basques held on until the 72nd minute, but still the Gunners put the squeeze on an unyielding opponent and won with a score of 2:0.

Disqualifications and injuries

Jesus, Havertz and Saka will miss the match due to injuries. The entry of Edegor and White into the field is questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • Arsenal have not lost in seven of their last eight Premier League home games.
  • In two of the three previous matches involving Arsenal, a draw was recorded in the first half.
  • Arsenal have not lost on corners in six consecutive matches.

Approximate line–up: Raya – Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori - Merino, Subimendi, Rice – Madueke, Diekeres, Martinelli.

Manchester City

Current form

Manchester City, like their upcoming rivals, actively worked in the transfer market in the summer. However, unlike Arsenal, it is far from easy for all newcomers to fit into the new club's model of play, there is still a lack of teamwork, and success can often be achieved through individual skill. Nevertheless, in some matches you can see a very confident and balanced game on all lines. This was most clearly manifested in the crucial derby with Manchester United (3-0), where Josep Guardiola's players clearly used their chances in attack, Holland scored a double, and played to zero in defense.

Since the beginning of the season, Manchester City has allowed itself two misfires in the Premier League. There was a defeat against Tottenham (0:2) on their own field, and they failed to cope with Brighton (1:2) on the road. In the face of fierce competition and Liverpool's flawless move, the townspeople have no right to lose points, because they have one goal – to win all the tournaments they participate in.

The start in the Champions League turned out to be a success for Manchester City. In the first round, Josep Guardiola's team defeated Napoli (2-0). Undoubtedly, the early removal from the opponent helped, but a victory is a victory. It should be noted that the newcomer of the Donnaruma club successfully played in the goal – he had two matches to zero, with Manchester United and Napoli.

Disqualifications and injuries

Ait-Nuri, Marmush, Kovacic, Sherki and Phillips will not play due to injuries. The Stones are questionable.

Interesting betting trends

  • Manchester City have not beaten Arsenal in five consecutive head-to-head matches.
  • In six of the last eight matches of the citizens in the Premier League, at least one of the teams did not score goals.
  • Manchester City players were offside less often than their opponents in 10 of the 11 previous matches.

Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Husanov, Dias, Guardiol, Lewis – Rhodri – B.Silva, Foden, Reynders, Doku – Holland.

xG Expected goals
Arsenal
2.11xG per Match2.48
Manchester City

Trends

Arsenal's Offside Winrate

In 10 of the last 11 matches, Manchester City have lost by offside

1.40
1.40

Bet 2 half: Manchester City will score

In the previous two face-to-face matches, Manchester City scored goals in the second 45 minutes.

2.02
2.02

The bet is an exact score of 1:1

Arsenal and Manchester City have gone their separate ways in two of the last three face-to-face meetings.

6.50
6.50

Bet Goals in both halves – no

The bet has played in three of the last five face-to-face matches

1.94
1.94

Arsenal's Total Yellow Cardrateis more than 1.5

Arsenal players have received at least two yellow cards in six of the seven previous face-to-face meetings on their home field during Premier League matches.

1.52
1.52

Tip and bets

TipManchester City will not lose
1.93

On the one hand, Arsenal deservedly acts as a favorite in the bookmaker line. The Gunners are playing on their own field, they were not inferior to the citizens in the last five head-to-head matches, they are starting the season more confidently, they lost only to Liverpool, and even then the match was largely equal. On the other hand, we would not immediately write off the guests. Gradually, the updated Manchester City squad is gaining momentum, Donnaruma is showing himself well in goal, who has two games to zero under his belt. In terms of individual skill, the Townspeople are definitely in no way inferior to the Londoners, at any moment each of the top players can prove themselves in attack. We are inclined to believe that according to the coefficients set, it is worth betting on the guests, especially since in two of the three previous face-to-face confrontations there was a draw, which we do not exclude today.

Our betting tip is that Manchester City will not lose by a factor of 1.93

Did you like the tips?
Tiptotal less than three goals
1.62

Bet on the total

Arsenal and Manchester City set maximum goals in the Premier League. Liverpool has already gone into a small gap, managed to win in the fifth round. In such a situation, the gunners and the townspeople have no right to make mistakes, they are unlikely to take risks and try to arrange a scoring extravaganza. We don't expect more than two goals scored in a match.

The second bet is a total of less than three goals with a coefficient of 1.62

A bet on the exact difference in the bill

Manchester City is not inferior to Arsenal in terms of its potential and selection of performers. The team consists of experienced players, for whom the foreign field factor will not be a big problem. Guardiola's players need to prove their worth in such matches. We expect that if the guests win today, it will be with a minimal advantage.

Prediction – Manchester City will win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 5.80

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips23
% of profit-0.21%
Win percentage52.17%
Average coefficient1.8
Wins52.17%  (12)
Refunds8.70%  (2)
Loses39.13%  (9)
Total tips466
% of profit16.2%
Win percentage45.06%
Average coefficient1.9
Wins45.06%  (210)
Refunds8.15%  (38)
Loses46.78%  (218)