Jessica Pegula - Victoria Azarenka: prediction and bets on the US Open match

Command Analysis

Pegula failed the American hard series on the way to the US Open. Jessica has not won more than one round in the bracket at three tournaments in Washington, Montreal and Cincinnati. Nevertheless, she went through two rounds in New York and did not experience any problems. In turn, the American dealt with Sheriff (6-0, 6-4) and Blinkova (6-1, 6-3). Pegula is defending last year's final on the local courts.

Azarenka has been in the shadows all season, has no achievements, and now occupies a modest 132nd place in the ranking. In preparation for the US Open, Victoria did not play in any hardball tournaments. Nevertheless, she was able to complete two rounds in New York. At the start, there were difficulties with adaptation due to lack of game practice, Inoue broke the resistance in two hard sets (7-6, 6-4). But in the second round, she more than confidently dealt with Pavlyuchenkova (6-3, 6-3).
Trends
The Tiebreakbetin the match is yes
In two of the three previous face-to-face meetings, Pegula and Azarenka played tie-breaks.
3.95Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This was the scenario that unfolded in three of the last five matches of Pegula.
2.20Tip and bets
Azarenka actually needed only one match to find her game and adapt to New York. In the second match at the tournament, she left Pavlyuchenkova no chance and made it clear that it was too early to write her off. The Pegula on the hard American series is not stable, a crash can happen at any time. Victoria has beaten Jessica three times in her career, and she knows how to play against her. We believe that there will be a tight fight in the match and we are betting on the Belarusian tennis player.
Our prediction is that Azarenka will win with a handicap of (+5) games with a coefficient of 1.67
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