Arina Sobolenko - Leila Fernandez: prediction and bets for the US Open match

Command Analysis

Sobolenko held only one hardball tournament in preparation for defending her US Open title. In Cincinnati, Arina reached the quarterfinals, where she lost to Rybakina without a chance (1-6, 4-6). While in New York, the first racket of the world leaves an ambiguous impression with her game. In fights with Masarova (7-5, 6-1) and Polina Kudermetova (7-6, 6-2), she had a hard time entering the game, only adding to the second game and achieving success.

Fernandez immediately won the tournament in Washington after switching to hard, after which she noticeably slowed down and won only one match in the next three competitions. Nevertheless, the Canadian has already gone through two rounds in New York and had controversial fights. She dealt with Marino without any problems (6-2, 6-1), and with Jacmo she played three sets (2-6, 6-3, 6-2).
Trends
The Totalbetis less than 2.5 sets
In the last four matches with Sobolenko, the minimum number of sets was played.
1.31Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
This is the scenario that unfolded in three of Fernandez's last five matches.
2.21Tip and bets
This is not to say that Sobolenko had two matches at the tournament without problems. Every time Arina experienced difficulties at the start of the fights, she had a hard time entering the game. Fernandez has never been particularly stable, the tennis player is very unpredictable, but in general, she is now in a good playing tone and is able not to lose badly. Undoubtedly, Leila remembers the 2021 semi-finals at the USA Open, when she beat Arina in a hard fight.
Our prediction is that Fernandez will win with a handicap of (+5.5) games with a coefficient of 1.77
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