LiontipsHamburg - St. Pauli: betting tip (cf 3.10) and bets on the Bundesliga match
Command Analysis
Current form
Hamburg was close to returning to the Bundesliga for several seasons in a row, but something was constantly missing in the final stages. Last season, we managed to finish in second place in the Second Bundesliga and get a direct ticket to promotion.
In the offseason, Hamburg played very unconvincingly in friendly matches: there were defeats in four of the six matches. This was followed by a cup meeting in the 1/32 finals with Pirmasens, who was noticeably inferior in class, which they managed to pass only in extra time.
Against the background of numerous failures, there were concerns in the betting tips that in the first round of the Bundesliga, Merlin Polcina's wards would be able to score points on the road in Monchengadbach with Borussia. However, in that meeting, the rivals drew 0-0. This result is clearly positive for Hamburg. Especially considering that the stallions had a significant advantage, owned the ball 61% of the playing time and scored 17 shots on goal (four of them on target).
Disqualifications and injuries
Hefti, Ferai, Jatta will not play today due to injuries. Glatzel is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Hamburg has not won in the first half in five consecutive matches.
- In three of the previous five matches involving Hamburg, at least one of the teams did not score goals.
- Hamburg beat St. Pauli in their home field in three previous face-to-face meetings.
Approximate line–up: Hoyer Fernandes – Torunariga, Elfadli, Omari – Gocholeishvili, Kapaldo, Remberg, Muhaim - Philippe, Koenigsderffer, Ressing-Lelesit.
Current form
It seems that St. Pauli will face a completely different team in the new season than we are used to seeing. In the last championship, the Pirates relied on pragmatic defensive football and were among the best clubs in the Bundesliga in terms of defensive reliability. Now, even in the pre-season sparring sessions, Alexander Blessin's wards stood out for their uncharacteristic high performance. The victories over Silkeborg (4:1), Karlsruhe (6:1), Victoria 2-0 over Nice also deserve attention.
In the first round of the Bundesliga, St. Pauli had a productive home match with Borussia Dortmund (3:3). Then the pirates won back from the score 1:3, they scored two goals in the very end after being eliminated from the opponent. It is characteristic that the hosts were in no way inferior to their superior opponent in the game: they scored seven shots on target, owned the ball 51% of the playing time and created no less dangerous moments than Borussia.
So far, only the cup match against Eintracht from Norderstadt is slightly out of the question. There, the opponents did not score a single goal either in regular or extra time. Nevertheless, Alexander Blessin's team was better in the penalty shootout and reached the 1/16 finals.
Disqualifications and injuries
The Mets, Irvine and Jones are on the injured list. Nemeth and Pyrka's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In six of the previous seven away matches in the Bundesliga, St. Pauli did not win (three draws and three defeats)
- No more than two goals have been scored in seven of St. Pauli's last ten league away games.
- In four of the previous five matches, the Pirates did not win in the first half.
- In three of the last five matches of St. Pauli, at least one of the teams did not score goals.
Approximate line–up: Vasil – Val, Dzigala, Smith – Saliakas, Sands, Fujita, Oppi – Sinani - Pereira Lage, Untongi.
Trends
The Total cornerbetis less than 9.5
No more than nine corners were served in six of the eight previous St. Pauli away games in the Bundesliga.
1.951st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
Stavka has played in Hamburg's last three matches
1.43The exact score is 1:2
Hamburg have suffered three of their last four defeats by a one-goal margin.
10.50The St. Pauli team will score in the second half
The bet was successful in three of the previous five Pirates matches
1.71Tip and bets
Before us is the Hamburg derby, in which any of the rivals can win, given the principled nature of the confrontation. It's somewhat surprising to see Hamburg in the line as a favorite. So far, the Bundesliga newcomer has not impressed either in friendly matches, in the Cup, or in the first round in the match against Borussia Monchengladbach, where the opponent had a significant advantage, although in the end there was a zero draw. St. Pauli has changed the tactical pattern of the game over the summer, now relies on the attack, three goals against Borussia Dortmund are worth a lot. At the moment, due to their more powerful offensive game, the Pirates are able to take three points in the derby.
Our betting tip is that St. Pauli will win by a factor of 3.10
Bet on the total
When choosing a total bet, we rely on the pirates and their bold attacking game. Moreover, Hamburg in summer sparring matches, against the background of more or less serious rivals, was not distinguished by reliable defensive actions, regularly conceding at least two goals.
The second bet is the individual total of St. Pauli goals more than one with a coefficient of 1.70
A bet on yellow cards
Let's pay attention to the fact that in 12 of the last 14 away matches of St. Pauli, the referees did not show more than four yellow cards. Based on these statistics, we offer another option for betting on the game.
The betting tip is that the total number of yellow cards is less than 4.5 with a coefficient of 2.00
