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Manchester United - Athletic: betting tip and bets with odds of 3.90
Manchester United scored a comfortable 3-0 victory over Athletic on the road in Bilbao and has an excellent chance of qualifying for the Europa League final. The Basques obviously don't plan to just give away the return leg on May 8 at Old Trafford, but it's obvious that it will be difficult to make a comeback, because the Red Devils haven't lost in the current draw of the second most important European club tournament yet. We suggest you read our expert's betting tip for the upcoming game and choose the exact bets
Command Analysis
Manchester United
EnglandCurrent form
Manchester United remained the only participant in the current Europa League draw who managed to complete the tournament distance without a single defeat. In the overall stage, the Mancunians finished in third place, scoring 18 points in six rounds. In the 1/8 finals, their opponents were Real Sociedad. Then they went away in peace (1:1), and at home they took advantage of the Spaniards' elimination and won 4:1. The quarterfinal confrontation with Lyon turned out to be the most intense and unpredictable. In France, there was a 2-2 draw, and in Manchester, the opponents played a lively match in which the advantage shifted from one team to another several times, as a result, the representative of the Premier League won 5-4 in extra time.
In Bilbao, Manchester United was not the favorite in the first game of the semi-final, according to bookmaker quotes. However, the removal of the Basques in the 35th minute intervened, and even before that, the guests scored one goal. As a result, Athletic failed to finish the first half, conceding two goals. A 3-0 away victory opens up excellent prospects for Ruben Amorim's team to reach the finals. Interestingly, in all three Europa League playoff matches, the Mancunians are helped to one degree or another by the removal of opponents.
In the Premier League, Manchester United has long been unable to solve serious tournament tasks, which allows the coaching staff to actively use the rotation of the squad. In the last round, the Red Devils lost 3-4 to Brentford and are in 15th place in the standings.
Disqualifications and injuries
Manchester United's injured list includes Martinez, Haven, Dalot, Collyer, and Zirkzee. De Ligt's appearance on the field is questionable today.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches, taking into account all tournaments, Manchester United did not lose in the first half.
- At least three goals have been scored in seven of Manchester United's previous nine Europa League matches.
- The bet on both goals was played in seven of the last nine matches of the Mancunians in LE
Approximate composition: Onana – Lindelof, Maguire, Yoro – Mazraoui, Ugarte, Casemiro, Dorgu–Garnacho, Fernandes– Hoylund.
Athletic Bilbao
SpainCurrent form
The current Europa League draw is special for Athletic, as the final of the tournament will be held at the San Mames home arena in Bilbao, and the team was aiming to make it to the decisive round. After a 0-3 home defeat, the chances of this are minimal. The removal of Dani Vivian seriously affected the course of that game. It will be very difficult to win back three goals away, especially considering that the Basques traditionally have weak away matches. Suffice it to say that since the beginning of the calendar year 2025, they have won only one victory in foreign arenas, taking into account all tournaments.
In the previous stages of the playoffs, Athletic coped with their rivals largely due to the home field factor. With Roma, there was a 1-2 defeat on the road, and we managed to win 3 at home.:1. In the 1/4 finals with the Rangers away, even playing almost the entire match in the majority, they failed to win (0-0), but at their stadium the Basques confidently dealt with the Scots with a score of 2:0.
In the example, Athletic has a good chance of finishing in the top 5 and getting a ticket to the Champions League. Ernesto Valverde's team scored 61 points and finished in fourth place with a three-point lead over their closest pursuer. In the last round, Athletic beat Real Sociedad (0-0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Vivian will serve her suspension. The entry of Sunset and N. Williams into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In seven of Athletic's ten previous Europa League matches, at least three goals were scored.
- In three of the last five matches, taking into account all tournaments, Athletic did not win in the first half.
- Athletic have not lost in LE in 10 of the last 13 matches.
Approximate line–up: Simon De Marcos, Paredes, Alvarez, Berciche – Jaurehisar, Galareta – I. Williams, Gomez, Berenguer – Sannad.
Trends
Athletic's Victoryrateon fouls
In seven of the last eight matches, Athletic players fouled more often than their opponents.
1.45Manchester United's CornerBet
In six consecutive home matches in the Europa League, Manchester United have taken more corners than their opponents.
2.80The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Athletic have suffered their last three away defeats with a one-goal difference.
8.20Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet played in three of Manchester United's previous five matches
1.78Tip and bets
We believe that the most optimal option for betting on the return game would be the total number of goals scored. This choice is supported not only by the fact that the Basques need to win back three goals and open up, take risks, but also by statistics. Manchester United's matches in the Europa League this season are highly productive: at least three goals were scored in seven of the nine previous matches. Athletic is also not far behind in this regard: in seven of the last ten matches of the team in LE, at least three goals were scored. We are waiting for an open game today and at least three goals scored by the opponents.
Our betting tip is a total of more than 2.5 goals for a coefficient of 1.87
Betting on the outcome
Athletic was betting on a home match, but failed to gain an advantage. The Basques did not win a single victory away from home in the playoffs and it is unlikely that this will happen today. The team cannot withstand too busy a schedule, in the Example there is no way to actively use rotation, unlike the upcoming opponent. We expect Manchester United to win at home.
The second bet is a victory for Manchester United with a coefficient of 1.95
Combined bid
Manchester United's defense is not particularly reliable, which could be seen from the game against Lyon. Obviously, Athletic will not give up their ticket to the finals without a fight, and they are quite capable of winning on their own goal. At the same time, guests will run the risk that the red devils may take advantage of it more than once. In our opinion, in this scenario, a combined bet looks promising that Manchester United will win and the opponents will exchange goals scored.
The prediction is that Manchester United will win and both will score with a coefficient of 3.90
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