PSG - Arsenal: betting tip and bets with odds of 4.10

At the general stage of the Champions League draw, PSG lost away to Arsenal. That meeting took place back in October last year, and since then the Parisians have noticeably increased, which affected the result of the first semi-final meeting in London. A minimal away victory allows Luis Enrique's players to play calmly on May 7, according to the score, while the Gunners will have to open up. Will the guests be able to win back today and leave PSG without the long-awaited final? - the answer is in our betting tip. The star experts of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko, Alexander Mostovoy and Dmitry Gradilenko also share their bets on the match

Command Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain

Current form
PSG had a difficult and uncertain entry into the Champions League draw in the new format. There were concerns in the betting tips that without Mbappe, the team would be able to prove itself at its best on the European stage. However, it is worth paying tribute to Luis Enrique, who established, first of all, team interactions, found his place on the field for everyone. The Parisians improved significantly during the tournament and now they look like a well-organized team, where each player knows what to do and how to do it in a specific situation on the field, in fact, there are no weak points in the game.
It was not possible to make it to the 1/8 finals immediately, but this did not affect the Parisians in any way. At the start of the playoffs, they dealt with Brest without any problems (10:0 on aggregate). In the 1/8 finals, PSG had a real test of strength – a two-match showdown with Liverpool. Then Luis Enrique's team suffered a largely undeserved 0:1 defeat at home, but on the road they managed to get a 2-0 victory. Next, there was another confrontation with the representative of the Premier League, Aston Villa, where almost all issues were resolved after a 3-1 home victory. It was not easy on the road in Birmingham. but we persevered, even though we lost 2:3.
In Ligue 1, PSG became champions ahead of schedule, in the last rounds you can see defeats from Nice (1:3) and Strasbourg (1:2), but it's hardly worth paying attention to these matches, since the goal now is the same – the battle for the long-awaited trophy in the Champions League. In the first game against Arsenal in London, Dembele's early goal was the winning goal, although both teams had chances later. A minimal 1-0 victory leaves a good chance for the finals.
Disqualifications and injuries
The situation with Ousmane Dembele is somewhat alarming. The author of the winning goal in London was substituted in the second half due to injury, after which he missed the Ligue 1 match against Strasbourg. The appearance of one of the leaders on the field is questionable today, although the chances of playing today are great. It is also not known for sure whether Lee and L. Hernandez will play in the second leg. He definitely won't help his team because of Kimpembe's injury.
Interesting betting trends
- In five of the last seven matches involving PSG in the Champions League, at least one of the opponents did not score goals.
- PSG have conceded in the Champions League in five of their last six home matches.
- In three of the previous five matches, taking into account all tournaments, PSG won at the end of the first half.
Approximate composition: Donnarumma – Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes – Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves – Douai, Ramos, Kvaratskhelia.

Arsenal

Current form
Arsenal, unlike their upcoming opponent, played confidently at the league stage, finished in the top eight without any problems and got the right to start in the playoffs immediately from the 1/8 finals. The Londoners' opponent at this stage was not the most formidable. All issues in the confrontation with PSV were resolved in the first away game – a victory with a crushing score of 7:1. On their own field, the Gunners then parted in peace with the representative of the Eredivisie (2:2).
In the quarterfinals, Mikel Arteta's team played against Real Madrid and were not the bookmakers' favorites to reach the next stage. However, as such, there was no intrigue in the confrontation, contrary to expectations and betting tips. Arsenal had a significant advantage in the game both at home (3-0) and away (2-1), played more reliably than creamy in defense, and had no difficulties with implementation. A convincing 5-1 victory allowed them to advance to the semifinals.
In the Premier League, Arsenal seems to be finishing in their familiar second position. There is not even a theoretical possibility to catch up with Liverpool – the Merseysiders have become early champions. At the same time, the gap from the third-placed Manchester City is three points three rounds before the finish. In the last two rounds of the championship, the Londoners did not win – a draw with Crystal Palace (2:2) and a defeat against Bournemouth (1:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Arsenal still has significant losses in the squad. Magallanes, Jesus, Tomiyasu, Havertz, Jorginho and Calafiori will not play in Paris due to injuries. The entry of Edegore and Timber into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- Arsenal currently have an open streak of three matches without a win, taking into account all tournaments.
- Arsenal have won four consecutive matches away from home in the Champions League.
- In nine of the last ten matches, the Gunners have lost by fouls.
Approximate line–up: Raya - White, Saliba, Kivior, Lewis–Skelly - Merino, Parti, Rice – Saka, Trossard, Martinelli.
Trends
PSG's Total cornerrateis more than 5.5
In 11 of the last 13 home matches in the Champions League, PSG have provided at least six corners.
2.03PSG'sbetwon't lose on yellow cards
In nine previous matches, Arsenal players have not received more yellow cards than their opponents.
1.77The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
PSG have scored two of their last three home wins with a one-goal advantage.
8.60Bet Goals in both halves – no
The bet has played in two face-to-face matches between rivals this season.
1.85Tip and bets
PSG scored an important 1-0 victory on the road and, in our opinion, they are also capable of winning at home. It is unlikely that Luis Enrique will build tactics only to maintain an advantage, such an approach is always dangerous, and Parisians are used to acting from a position of strength on their own field. Arsenal is having problems with the squad at the end of the season. Yes, we managed to confidently beat Real Madrid in the quarterfinals, but the cream ones are far from being at their peak right now. PSG, on the contrary, is clearly on the rise during the season, at the moment we have a perfectly balanced team in front of us, in which even if one of the players is lost or if someone's game does not go well, there is always someone to come to the fore and bring victory. At the moment, unlike in October last year, when the Gunners confidently beat the Parisians at home, the balance of power in this pair has changed.
Our betting tip is for PSG to win by a factor of 2.14
Bet on the total
Arsenal clearly does not lose hope of regaining the minimum gap in the score, and even if not from the first minutes, they will still take risks and reveal themselves. PSG, when they get free space, are always dangerous in attack, especially on their own field. The Gunners' defense is not particularly reliable right now, given the losses in the squad. From the same Crystal Palace and Bournemouth, the Londoners conceded two goals each. We believe that the Parisians at home will be able to distinguish themselves with at least two goals of the opponent.
The second bet is PSG's individual goal total of more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 1.85
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
Taking into account all the tournaments, PSG has won two of the last three winning matches with a one-goal advantage. We do not think that Arsenal will completely fail the second leg today, it is unlikely that they will lose with a difference of more than one goal.
Prediction – PSG win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.10