LiontipsBrentford - Brighton: English Premier League match betting tip and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Brentford is spending the next season in the role of a strong middle-class Premier League player. The team cannot solve higher tasks than a place in the top ten, but the potential of the team is not that high. By the start of Round 33, the Bees are in 11th place in the table and are five points behind today's opponent. In the last three rounds, the Londoners have not won a single victory, but draws with Chelsea (0-0) and Arsenal (1-1) can clearly be attributed to Thomas Frank's team. It should be noted that, taking into account all tournaments, Brentford cannot win for nine matches on their own field, although in the first half of the season they were among the best home teams in the Premier League.
Disqualifications and injuries
They will not be able to help their team due to injuries to Da Silva, Thiago and Carvalho. Hickey's entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- In four of the last five matches, Brentford have drawn in the first half.
- In the previous six matches with Brentford in the Premier League, no more than three goals were scored.
Approximate line–up: Flecken - Ayer, Collins, van den Berg, Lewis-Potter – Nergor, Janelt – Mbeumo, Damsgard, Schade – Wissa.
Current form
Brighton set a goal for the season to compete for European Cup positions, but the stability and safety margin at the distance are clearly not enough for the team to finish in the top 7 in conditions of fierce competition. Individual successful stretches of the seagull alternate with failures, hence the intermediate tenth place in the table, six points behind the European Cup seven. Fabian Hürzeler's team cannot win four rounds in a row – two draws and two defeats. In the last round, Brighton could not cope with the outsider Leicester on their own field, and conceded two goals from an opponent who had not been able to score for a long time (2:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Kadioglu, Milner, Igor, Lampty, Steele, Rutter, Veltman and Webster will not play due to injuries. Entering the Mitoma field is questionable. As you can see, Brighton has significant losses in the squad, which is one of the reasons for the recent failures.
Interesting betting trends
- Brighton have not lost in six of their last eight Premier League matches.
- In five of the previous six Premier League matches involving Brighton, there was an exchange of goals scored.
Provisional squad: Verbruggen – Hinshelwood, Dank, van Hoecke, Estupignan – Minte, O'Reilly, Ayari, Adingra – Joao Pedro, Welbeck.
xG Statistics
Detailed XG statisticsTrends
1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In three of the last four face-to-face matches, no more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.
1.47The Total cornerbetis less than 11.5
In the last six away matches of Brighton in the Premier League, more than 11 corners were not served.
1.44The bet is an accurate score of 2:1
Brentford have scored two of their last four wins with this score.
8.60Tip and bets
Brentford's unbeaten streak has clearly dragged on, and today will be a good chance to take three points. Brighton is clearly on a decent decline right now, the draw in the last round with Leicester clearly confirmed this. Nevertheless, it affects the fact that the seagulls have a lot of losses in the squad, Fabian Hurzeler does not have the opportunity for tactical maneuvers. In the previous four matches, Brighton did not win, while the bees took points from Chelsea and Arsenal, now they are clearly in better shape than their opponent.
Our prediction is that Brentford will win with an Asian handicap (0) for a coefficient of 1.90
Bet on the total
In the last two face-to-face matches, Brentford and Brighton did not score a single goal, both times they drew 0-0. Today we are not expecting a scoring drought, given, first of all, the weak defensive play of the seagulls.
The second bet is a total of more than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.63
Betting on fouls
In three of the previous four matches, Brighton had not lost by fouls. We believe that the hosts will have more possession of the ball, and the seagulls will often have to break the rules in order to somehow contain the attack of the Londoners.
Prediction – Brighton win by fouls with a coefficient of 1.60
