Liontips
Fiorentina - Celje: betting tip for the Conference League match
On the road, in the first game of the Conference League quarterfinals, Fiorentina defeated Celje by a score of 2.:1. In the return leg in Florence on April 17, it is enough for the violets not to lose, and they will have a ticket to the semifinals in their pocket. Will the Slovenian club be able to create a sensation today? - the answer is in our betting tip. What are the best bets to choose for the game?
Command Analysis
Fiorentina
ItalyCurrent form
Fiorentina had a difficult opponent at the 1/8 finals of the Conference League – Greek Panathinaikos. The Violets were defeated 2:3 on the road, but they won at home with a score of 3.:1. In the quarterfinals, the opponent was noticeably weaker, and the 2-1 away victory over Celje did not cause much surprise. At the same time, it should be noted that for the entire match, Raffaele Palladino's wards scored only two shots on target, and both turned out to be accurate – the implementation was excellent. After the European Cup game, Fiorentina played in Serie A with Parma on their own field and could not win (0-0). This draw significantly complicated the team's prospects of finishing in the European Cup six, which now has a three-point gap.
Disqualifications and injuries
Beauvais has heart problems, the player will not play today. Moreno, Dodo and Zagnolo will serve suspensions due to too many yellow cards. Gosens and Kolpani will not play due to injuries.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last 12 home matches in the Conference League, Fiorentina has not lost in regular time.
- At least four goals have been scored in five of the last six matches at home with the Violets in the Conference League.
Approximate composition: De Gea — Comuzzo, Pongracic, Marie—Ranieri, Faggioli, Cataldi, Mandragora, Parisi— Beltran, Keen.
NK Celje
SloveniaCurrent form
Reaching the quarterfinals of the Conference League is a great success for the humble Slovenian Celje. In the previous two playoff rounds, Albert Riera's team went through APOEL and Lugano, and with the same Swiss, it was not the bookmakers' favorite. In the home game against Fiorentina, the Slovenians looked decent, had their moments, scored a goal from the penalty spot. It won't be easy to win back on the road after a 1-2 defeat, but the difference in class is noticeable. In the Slovenian championship, Celje is in fourth place after 30 rounds and is currently on a four-match winning streak.
Disqualifications and injuries
The main loss in the squad is Lithuanian striker Armandas Kucis. Eichmeier will also not play today due to injury.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches, Celje has not won in the first half.
- Celje lost in six of the seven previous away matches in the Conference League.
Approximate composition: Silva — Nieto, Vuklishevich, Nemanich, Karnicinik — Kvesic, Zabukovnik, Svetlin — Deslauriers-Shobe, Matko, Seshlar.
Trends
Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In three of Fiorentina's last five matches, goals have been scored in each half.
1.511st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
This bet was successful in four of the five previous meetings with the participation of Celje
1.67The bet is an accurate score of 2:0
Fiorentina have scored two of their last three wins with a "dry" score.
7.40Tip and bets
Tsele played the first match against Fiorentina with dignity, scored his goal, did a good job defensively, although the opponent scored two goals. However, we do not expect such a confident game from the Slovenes on the road. Celje is playing much worse away: they lost in six of the seven previous away meetings in the Conference League. Today, we will have to take risks, reveal what the experienced Fiorentina players will take advantage of, and are unlikely to limit themselves to a modest victory, but the difference in class is noticeable.
Our betting tip is that Fiorentina will win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) for a coefficient of 1.97
Bet on the total
Celje is missing key forward Armandas Kucis, and the attack is noticeably weaker without him. Slovenians don't often delight with bold and effective football on a visit, it's unlikely that they will be able to distinguish themselves even once today, especially considering that the Violets didn't concede a single goal in the previous three home matches, and Juventus and Atlanta were rivals, by the way.
The second bet is that Celje will not score with a coefficient of 2.27
Betting on corners
In six of Fiorentina's seven previous home games in the Conference League, at least nine corners were taken. We are not expecting a very closed game today, so we recommend that the betting tip for the total is more in the corners.
The betting tip is that the total number of corners is more than 8.5 with a coefficient of 1.62
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