Liontips
Arsenal - Fulham: betting tip and bets with odds of 4.40
Arsenal will play Fulham in the London Derby on April 1 as part of the 30th round of the Premier League. The Gunners failed to beat the cottagers in the previous three face-to-face confrontations, but nevertheless, today the bookmakers have no doubt about the victory of the hosts. Should we expect a surprise from the underdog, or will the favorite confidently take three points? - the answer is in our betting tip. Roman Pavlyuchenko, the star expert of the website, also shares his bet on the match
Command Analysis
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
On the eve of the international break, Arsenal held the London derby with Chelsea and achieved a difficult victory with a minimum score of 1:0. In the 20th minute, Merino scored a goal, then there was a tight fight, more in the center of the field, the referee showed six yellow cards, but the principal rivals did not create any really dangerous moments. By the will of the calendar, the Gunners have the London derby again in round 30, this time against Fulham, who avoided defeat in the previous three face-to-face confrontations (two draws and a win), and in all these matches both opponents scored goals.
Arsenal are in their usual second place in the standings. It is not possible to catch up with Liverpool, as the gap is 12 points. Nottingham Forest is four points behind, and the handicap is also quite decent and comfortable.
Mikel Arteta's team failed to achieve success in the national cup tournaments, but continues to fight for the trophy in the Champions League. At the 1/8 finals stage, Arsenal confidently overcame the resistance of PSV. On a visit, the Londoners defeated the representative of the Eredivisie with a score of 7:1, and drew 2-2 at home. Ahead is a two-match battle with Real Madrid.
Disqualifications and injuries
Tomiyasu, Jesus, Havertz and Saka are still injured. In addition, defender Calafiori returned after the international break with a knee injury.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last four matches Arsenal have won in the first half.
- Arsenal have not scored more than two goals in their previous five Premier League matches.
- In the last 17 home matches in the Premier League, Arsenal has suffered only one defeat.
- In 10 of the last 11 matches, Arsenal players have been offside more often than their opponents.
Approximate line–up: Raya - Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Lewis–Skelly - Edegor, Parti, Rice – Nvaneri, Merino, Trossard.
Fulham
EnglandCurrent form
Fulham have proven themselves to be one of the most unpredictable teams this season. The cottagers take points from Liverpool (2:2), beat Chelsea (2:1), but between these great matches they can't even hit Southampton's goal once (0:0). Marc Silva's team loses a lot of points in matches against opponents from the second half of the table, which prevents them from gaining a foothold in the top 6.
By the start of Round 30, Fulham is in eighth place in the table, two points behind the top 6. Moreover, there is still a chance to compete for a place in the top4, as the gap from Chelsea, who are in fourth place, is four points. In the previous round, the cottagers defeated Tottenham 2-0 on their own field. They scored two goals only at the very end, after the 75th minute. It should be noted that the team scored goals in the last three rounds.
Three days ago, Fulham played an FA Cup quarter-final match against Crystal Palace. In that meeting, nothing could be countered by the Eagles - the defeat was 0:3. Now Marko Silva and his players can fully focus on the Premier League, where a serious fight for a place in the European Cup zone is expected.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are no new losses in the Fulham squad, Tete, Nelson and Wilson are still in the infirmary. It should be noted that Sasha Lukich, an important link in the support zone, has served his suspension.
Interesting betting trends
- In three of the last five matches involving Fulham, a draw was recorded in the first half.
- In six of the last seven away matches in the Premier League, Fulham have scored exactly two goals.
- In the four previous away matches of the cottagers in the Premier League, an exchange of goals was recorded.
- Fulham players have fouled more often than their opponents in the last six matches.
Approximate composition: Leno– Castagne, Andersen, Bassey, Robinson–Berge, Lukic–Traore, Smith-Rowe, Iwobi–Jimenez.
Trends
The bet is Fulham's victory by fouls
In the previous six matches, Fulham players fouled more often than their opponents.
1.50Bet Fulham will score in the first half
In the last three face-to-face matches, the Cottagers scored goals in the opening 45 minutes.
3.70The bet is an exact score of 1:1
In two of the last three face-to-face meetings, the teams played to a draw.
7.90Arsenal's Total Yellow Cardrateis less than 1.5
The bet was successful in seven of the eight previous face-to-face confrontations on the Arsenal field in the Premier League.
1.87Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last three face-to-face meetings, goals were scored in each of the halves.
1.67Tip and bets
In our opinion, the bookmakers somewhat underestimate the probability of an exchange of goals scored in this match. Arsenal are unlikely to be left without their ball on home turf – in the last five matches at the Emirates, only West Ham's defense has failed. Fulham have been away for 13 consecutive matches in the Premier League without at least one goal. Plus, in the six previous face-to-face confrontations, there was only one goal exchange.
Our betting tip is that both will score for a coefficient of 2.30
Bet on the total
Fulham often allows themselves to misfire during the season in confrontations with rivals from the second half of the table, but at the same time the team shows itself to the maximum against top rivals, they have already taken points from Liverpool, they parted with Arsenal in the first round (1:1). The Gunners still have key attacking players out of the game, and it is unlikely that they will be able to win today with an advantage of more than one goal.
The second bet is a Fulham victory with an Asian handicap (+1.5) with a coefficient of 1.65
Combined bid
In the previous three face-to-face matches, Fulham did not lose to Arsenal, obviously the cottagers know how to play against a famous opponent. Moreover, at least two goals were scored in all these three matches. Taking into account such current statistics, it is logical to play a combined bet with a high coefficient.
Betting Tip – Fulham will not lose and the total is more than 1.5 goals with a coefficient of 4.40
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