Bournemouth have not won five matches in a row, taking into account all tournaments, in regular time. Manchester City has a two-game winless streak. The rivals will face off on March 30 as part of the 1/4 final of the FA Cup. Who has the best chance of breaking their losing streak today and which reliable bets to choose? - the answer is in our expert's betting tip
Command Analysis
AFC Bournemouth
Current form
Bournemouth confidently overcame two starting stages in the FA Cup. West Brom were defeated 5-1 first. Then we managed to arrange a convincing 2-0 victory over Everton. The most difficult match for Andoni Iraola's team was the 1/8 finals match against Nottingham Forest. In that meeting, following the results of the main and extra time, there was a 1-1 draw, and in the penalty shootout, the cherries turned out to be more accurate. In the Premier League, Bournemouth could not stand the competition at a distance, noticeably slowed down and after 29 rounds took only tenth place. In the last round, there was a 1-2 home defeat to Brentford.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Senesi, Unal, Smith and Sinisterra will not play in the cup game today. The exit to the Araujo field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In three of the last five matches, Bournemouth have not won in the first half.
In 10 of Bournemouth's previous 13 home matches in the FA Cup, at least three goals were scored in regular time.
The FA Cup is the only tournament in which Manchester City can win a trophy this season. The citizens have dropped out of the Champions League, and in the Premier League they are fighting only for a top-4 finish. So far, things are going well in the Cup, especially since in the previous three rounds we played with representatives of the lower divisions. Manchester City passed Salford (8-0), Leyton Orient (2-1) and Plymouth (3-1) in turn. The first truly serious test of strength is ahead. It is worth noting that, starting from the 2018/19 season, the townspeople regularly qualified for the quarter-finals of the Cup and invariably overcame this stage. In the Premier League, Josep Guardiola's men are only in fifth place after 29 rounds and are one point behind fourth-placed Chelsea. In the last round, they failed to defeat Brighton (2-2) on their own field.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rhodri, Akanji, Stones and Ake are in the infirmary. The appearance of Bobb and Ederson on the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
In the previous four matches, Manchester City had not lost in the first half.
Manchester City have won 14 of their last 15 matches in the FA Cup.
Towards the end of the season, Bournemouth noticeably slowed down, the team clearly lacks a safety margin, and there are no great opportunities for squad rotation, especially given the decent number of injured. Manchester City is too unpredictable right now, but the Cup is of great importance for the team, as it is the last hope to win at least some kind of trophy. In general, the townspeople successfully play in the Cup from year to year, and they have a significant advantage in terms of composition. Perhaps outside of regular time, but still, the guests from this pair, in our opinion, will advance to the semifinals.
Our betting tip is for Manchester City to pass by a factor of 1.73
When choosing a total bet, we recommend using up-to-date personal meeting statistics. In the last ten face-to-face confrontations, only two times the opponents did not score at least three goals for two. It would be logical to make a bet on the total more.
The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 1.72
A bet on yellow cards
A ticket to the Cup semi-finals is at stake, we think it will be hot on the field. In this case, it is worth paying attention to the fact that in six of the seven previous face-to-face confrontations on the Bournemouth pitch, Manchester City players received at least two warnings.
The betting tip is that the total number of Manchester City yellow cards is more than 1.5 with a coefficient of 2.03
xG (from English "expected goals" translates as "expected goals") is the sum of the probabilities of scoring chances, a mathematical value calculated taking into account the parameters of potential scoring chances, which include shots on goal and dangerous moments without finishing shots.
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