Liverpool vs Newcastle: betting tip (cf 5.00) and bets on the League Cup match

EFL Cup. uembli
LiverpoolEngland
Newcastle UnitedEngland
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Liverpool - Newcastle United
Liverpool and Newcastle will compete for the trophy in the English League Cup final on March 16 in London at the famous Wembley Stadium. At the end of February, the Merseysiders confidently outplayed the magpies with a score of 2:0 in the Premier League. Will Arne Slot's players be able to win on March 16? - the answer is in our betting tip. Which reliable bets should I choose for the final?

Command Analysis

Liverpool

Current form

According to the League Cup standings this season, Liverpool played only with representatives of the Premier League. There were no special problems in the confrontations with West Ham, Brighton and Southampton. In the semi-final stage, there was a two-legged battle with Tottenham. Arne Slot's team was defeated with a minimum score of 0:1 on a visit, but they confidently won 4-0 in the home return game and advanced to the finals. It should be noted that the Merseysiders are the current winners of the English League Cup. Moreover, they have won 10 trophies in this tournament, which is a record in English football.

Arne Slot's team is clearly not in the best mood for the upcoming finals after being eliminated from the Champions League at the 1/8 finals stage. On the road in Paris, Liverpool pulled out a difficult victory against PSG with a score of 1:0. In the return match, the opponent took revenge with the same score. The extra time ended with no goals scored, and in the penalty shootout, the French grandee's players performed better and advanced to the quarterfinals. In general, in terms of the game, both in Paris and in Liverpool, PSG played more confidently, had more dangerous moments and deservedly continued their path to the trophy.

In the Premier League, Liverpool has been leading the league table for almost the entire season and only a miracle can prevent them from winning the title. The advantage over the second-placed Arsenal is 15 points, and the Merseysiders have not allowed themselves a single misfire in the last three rounds. In particular, in this segment, we outplayed our opponent in the finals today, Newcastle, with a score of 2:0 at home.

Disqualifications and injuries

Injured Bradley, Gomez, Morton and Alexander-Arnold will not be able to help their team in the final in London.

Interesting betting trends

  • In the last three matches, Liverpool have not won in the first half.
  • In 9 of the 12 previous Merseyside League Cup matches, at least three goals were scored in regular time.
  • Liverpool have scored at least two League Cup goals in regular time in 9 of their last 12 matches.

Approximate composition: Alisson – Kouansa, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson – Gravenberch, McAllister – Salah, Soboslai, Diaz – Jota.

Newcastle United

Current form

Newcastle had the most difficult time in the League Cup in the first round, when they managed to break the resistance of Nottingham Forest only in a penalty shootout. Then there were confident victories over Wimbledon, Chelsea and Brentford. In the semi-finals, the Magpies had a formidable Arsenal in their opponents. There were expectations in the betting tips that a difficult two-match confrontation would turn out, but instead Eddie Howe's wards scored two convincing victories with the same score 2:0 and will now fight in the decisive match for the title. In its entire history, Newcastle has never won the League Cup trophy, but it has played in the finals twice. It should be noted that two years ago, in the decisive battle, the team lost to Manchester United (0:2).

Newcastle are not competing in European competitions this season, they are betting on a possible top-4 finish in the Premier League. Moreover, on the eve of the Magpies left the FA Cup, where they lost to Brighton in the 1/8 finals in extra time (1:2).

For Eddie Howe's players, the fight for European Cup places in the Premier League is in full swing. After 28 rounds, forty-47 points and an intermediate sixth place are on the score. The gap from the top 4 is only two points. In the last game in the Premier League, Newcastle scored a difficult 1-0 away win over West Ham.

Disqualifications and injuries

Lascelles, Botman, and Hall will not play today due to injuries. A significant loss in the finals was the absence of Gordon due to disqualification.

Interesting betting trends

  • In the previous two matches, Newcastle had drawn in the first half.
  • Newcastle have not lost in the League Cup in regular time in nine previous matches (seven wins and two draws)
  • In six of the last seven forty League Cup matches, no more than two goals have been scored.
  • Newcastle have opened the scoring in nine previous League Cup meetings.

Approximate line–up: Pope – Trippier, Cher, Bern, Livramento – Guimaraes, Tonali, Joelinton - Murphy, Isak, Barnes.

xG Expected goals
Liverpool
4.01xG per Match1.1
Newcastle United

Trends

Liverpool's Corner Handicap WinRate(-1.5)

Stavka has played in 10 of the last 12 face-to-face matches on the Liverpool pitch

1.63
1.63

Bet Liverpool will score in the second half

In the last four face-to-face matches, Liverpool have scored goals in the second 45 minutes.

1.42
1.42

The bet is an accurate score of 3:1

Liverpool have scored three of their last four personal wins with a two-goal advantage.

12.50
12.50

The Total Yellow cardrateis less than 4.5

In seven of the last nine face-to-face confrontations, more than four warnings were not shown.

1.82
1.82

1st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals

In Liverpool's four previous matches, no more than one goal was scored in the opening 45 minutes.

1.52
1.52

Tip and bets

TipLiverpool's victory
1.74

After being relegated from the Champions League, Liverpool's players will be motivated to win the League Cup final for the second year in a row. At the end of February, the Merseysiders confidently beat Newcastle with a two-goal advantage in the Premier League. In general, over the past eight face-to-face confrontations, Liverpool have beaten forty-seven times, we can say that this is a convenient opponent for them. Plus, Newcastle will not have Gordon in the final, and this is a significant loss in attacking formations, first of all. We believe that due to the individual actions of the leaders, first of all Salah, Liverpool will achieve victory in regular time today.

Our betting tip is for Liverpool to win by a factor of 1.74

Did you like the tips?
Tiptotal more than three goals
2.15

Bet on the total

At least three goals were scored in three of the four previous head-to-head confrontations. It is unlikely that we will see indoor football in the final, there is a high probability that one goal scored will open the game. Moreover, the opponents have a solid selection of performers in the offensive line.

The second bet is a total of more than three goals with a coefficient of 2.15

A bet on the exact difference in the bill

It should be noted that Liverpool scored two of the four previous wins in personal meetings with a two-goal advantage. We expect the Merseysiders to make a comfortable victory in the League Cup final today.

The betting tip is a Liverpool victory with a two–goal advantage with a coefficient of 5.00

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Betting predictions stat

Explore all statistics
Total tips19
% of profit0.06%
Win percentage57.89%
Average coefficient1.82
Wins57.89%  (11)
Refunds5.26%  (1)
Loses36.84%  (7)
Total tips452
% of profit16.93%
Win percentage45.13%
Average coefficient1.91
Wins45.13%  (204)
Refunds8.41%  (38)
Loses46.46%  (210)