LiontipsBruges - Aston Villa: betting tip (cf 4.10) and bets on the Champions League match
Command Analysis
Current form
Brugge was not among the main contenders for the playoffs. However, at the main stage, the Belgian club managed to finish in 24th position, which was the last to qualify for the 1/16 finals. The black and blue team took full advantage of their chance and overcame Atalanta's resistance. Moreover, they managed to defeat the representative of Serie A both at home and away (2:1 and 3:1, respectively). Nevertheless, these results should not be overestimated, since in each of the matches the Bergamasques had a huge number of chances, the defense of Brugge, one might say, was bursting at the seams. In Italy, for example, the hosts scored 30 shots on goal, hitting the posts more than once, but luck was still on the side of the Belgians.
It should be noted that during the main stage, Nicky Hayen's team did not impress with reliable defensive actions, 11 goals were conceded, and they scored a modest seven goals in eight matches.
In the Belgian championship, Brugge is in second place, with a solid nine points behind the leading Genk, and Union is just one point behind. In the last three rounds of the national championship, the black and blue did not win a single victory – two draws and a defeat. On the eve of the European Cup game, a 1-1 away draw with Gent was recorded.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Meyer and Onidika will not play today. The loss of Rafael Onidiki is very significant, as he is the key defensive midfielder of the team.
Interesting betting trends
- In the last five matches against Brugge, there has been an exchange of goals scored.
- Brugge had not lost in their previous four home matches in the Champions League.
- In four of Brugge's previous five matches in the Champions League, at least three goals were scored.
- Brugge players have fouled less than their opponents in four of the last five matches.
Approximate line–up: Mignolet - Seis, Ordonez, Mechele, de Cuyper – Talbi, Vetlesen, Vanaken, Yashari, Tsolis – Utgla.
Current form
Aston Villa had a strong start to the main stage of the Champions League, created a decent lead on points, and even with the less convincing second half, they were able to finish in eighth place with 16 points. In the decisive match in the last round, Birmingham defeated Celtic on their own field (4:2). Thus, we managed to get straight to the 1/8 finals.
In the Premier League, Unai Emery's players have not been stable throughout the season, they are only in tenth place. Aston Villa have 42 points, they are two points behind the top six in the European Cup, and five points behind the top 4, and the lions played more matches than all their competitors. Very often, a team loses points in confrontations with not the strongest opponents. So, in the last round there was a crushing defeat away from Crystal Palace with a score of 1:4, although before that they managed to take points away from Liverpool (2:2) and beat Chelsea (2:1).
At the weekend, Aston Villa successfully overcame the 1/8 finals stage in the FA Cup. In the class, playing far from the main squad, the Birmingham team defeated the Cardiff Championship representative with a score of 2:0.
Disqualifications and injuries
Barkley, Onana and Torres will not play due to injuries. Mings' entry into the field is questionable.
Interesting betting trends
- The exchange of goals scored was recorded in four of Aston Villa's previous five matches.
- In five of Aston Villa's last seven matches in the Champions League, no more than two goals have been scored.
- In the last seven matches in the Champions League, Birmingham did not win in the first half (six draws and one defeat)
- Aston Villa have not lost by offside in the last four matches.
Approximate composition: Martinez – Garcia, Consa, Disasi, Digne – McGinn, Thielemans – Rashford, Rogers, Ramsey – Watkins.
Trends
The Total cornerbetis more than 9.5
In the last four matches of Brugge, such a bet played
1.82Aston Villa'sbetis to score in the second half
In the previous three matches, Birmingham scored goals in the second 45 minutes.
1.71The exact score is 1:2
Brugge suffered the last two defeats with this score
9.20Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of Brugge's last five matches, goals have been scored in each half.
1.651st halfbet: total less than 1.5 goals
In four of Aston Villa's previous five matches, no more than one goal was scored in the first half.
1.42Tip and bets
Brugge managed to create a sensation at the previous stage in the Champions League, but there are a lot of questions about the team's game, especially in defense. Atalanta did not take advantage of their chances either in the away match or at home. The black and blue defense makes a lot of mistakes, which the Birmingham team can take full advantage of today. Plus, key defensive midfielder Onidika will miss the game. In the face-to-face match of the general stage at this stadium, Aston Villa lost 0:1, the Belgians then scored their only goal from the penalty spot. We expect Unai Emery to work on the mistakes, but the visitors still have the advantage in terms of composition.
Our prediction is that Aston Villa will win with an Asian handicap (0) by a factor of 1.75
Bet on the total
This pair suggests a bet on the exchange of goals scored, taking into account the rather open manner of the opponents' game and up-to-date statistics. In the previous five matches with Brugge, both opponents scored goals. Aston Villa have had goal exchanges in five of their last six games, taking into account all competitions.
The second bet is that both will score with a coefficient of 1.72
A bet on the exact difference in the bill
It is hardly worth waiting for Aston Villa to succeed on the road with a decent advantage in the score. Moreover, Brugge suffered the last two defeats with a one-goal difference. We expect the visitors to win with a one-goal handicap.
Prediction – Aston Villa win with a one-goal advantage with a coefficient of 4.10
