LiontipsArnaldi—Davidovich-Fokina. Forecast and bets for the ATP Dallas match
Command Analysis
Current form
Arnaldi faced Christopher Eubanks at the start of the competition in Dallas and managed to beat him in two sets (6-3, 6-4). In a duel against the American, Matteo made five aces, made two break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. For the Italian, it was only the second victory this season in four matches.
Professional qualities
Arnaldi is a specialist in clay tennis, who from a young age mainly played on slow surfaces. His game includes all the characteristic elements of a grounder, including an effective forehand on diagonal shots. Although serving is not his main trump card, the two—handed backhand is powerful, although the Italian prefers to play from the forehand. He doesn't like playing in gyms and rarely participates in such tournaments.
Current indicators in the tour
Arnaldi is the 39th racket of the world. The highest position of Italians in the world ranking is 30th place. Matteo has won six titles in his career. He completed the last one in 2023 at the dirt challenger in Heilbronn.
Interesting facts for betting
Arnaldi has won 9 of the last 14 matches against Spanish tennis players.
Current form
Davidovich-Fokina scored a 6-1, 7-5 victory over Brandon Holt in the first round of the Dallas tournament. In the match against the American tennis player, Alejandro made six aces, made three break points and did not lose a single game on his serve. The Spaniard has five wins and three losses this season.
Professional qualities
Davidovich-Fokina combines aggression, agility and athleticism. He hits powerfully from both sides, aiming the balls at sharp angles, and often uses drop shots. Fast feet and good reflexes help him get difficult shots, and versatility allows him to adapt to different surfaces. He maintains a high tempo of the game, actively puts pressure on opponents and is able to quickly move from defense to attack. However, emotions sometimes interfere with his game.
Current indicators in the tour
Davidovich-Fokina is the 59th racket of the world. Earlier in his career, the Spanish tennis player was ranked 21st in the world rankings. Alejandro has three trophies to his credit. He won his last title in 2019 on the open hardboard at the Luzhou Challenger.
Interesting facts for betting
Davidovich-Fokina has lost the last seven matches against the representatives of Italy.
Trends
Bet Effectiveness of sets: 2>1
In 3 of Arnaldi's last 5 matches, events on the court developed according to this scenario
2.31The Tiebreakbetin the match is yes
This bet played in 3 of the 5 previous Davidovich-Fokina matches.
2.21Tip and bets
It seems that Arnaldi understood how to play indore. Matteo is a specialized primer and his playing style is tailored precisely for such a coating. But the match against Eubanks showed that the Italian can do something on indoor hard court. We consider him the favorite in the upcoming match.
Our prediction is that Arnaldi will win by a factor of 2.27
Bet on the total
Last season, the tennis players had a face-to-face match in the framework of the tournament in Montreal. That meeting was a close fight and lasted for three sets. We believe that Arnaldi's upcoming match with Davidovich-Fokina will also be a "ride".
The second forecast is a total of more than 22 games for a coefficient of 1.72
Bet on the first set
In three of the last five Davidovich-Fokina matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We believe that the upcoming match against Arnaldi will also start with the "grassroots" first game.
The forecast is a total of less than 9.5 games in the first set for a coefficient of 1.92
