LiontipsCSKA - Barys. Forecast and bets on the KHL match
Command Analysis
Current form
CSKA is in fifth place in the Western Conference and has earned a total of 35 points. The team recently had an excellent series of four victories and seemed to be in great shape. However, this successful streak was interrupted by two defeats in a row, because first the army team could not cope with Traktor (2:5) and Ak Bars (1:2), but in the final away match they pulled themselves together and proved their superiority over Dynamo Moscow in a tough fight with a score of 1:0, getting away without a single missed puck.
In general, it can be said that the game is best for the Muscovites when they miss no more than one or two goals, since they themselves do not always show decent results and this season do not have an abundance of forwards who are able to take the game upon themselves. We emphasize that the starting game segment is the most successful for them, during which they have a minimum number of goals conceded and have a 24:16 ratio in goals.
The main scorers in the team remain Abramov and Sorkin, who scored exactly 22 points each in the goal + pass system. It is also worth mentioning that the club shows exemplary play in unequal compositions. For example, the army team occupies the fourth position in the league in the game in the majority (22.5%), and also remains in second place after Kazan in the quality of play in the minority and has 85.7% of neutralization.
Disqualifications and injuries
Yarosh and Samorukov will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- CSKA receives an average of 8.07 minutes of penalty time per match at home
The army team usually gets penalized at least four times on their home ice
- Muscovites win 51.9% of faceoffs
CSKA is not bad in this indicator and often has an advantage over its opponent at the point
Current form
Barys remains one of the main outsiders of the Eastern Conference and can’t rise from the penultimate line of the tournament table. The team is currently six points behind its closest competitor and it seems impossible to reduce this gap in the near future, especially considering the results it is currently showing. Let us recall that the Astana team is on a long series of four losses. On home ice, they lost to Amur (0:3), Avangard (2:3 OT), and then lost twice on the road to Sibir and Magnitogorsk Metallurg with a total score of 0:4.
Thus, in both away matches, the "Bars" were left without goals scored. They created good moments at the opponent goal and were very active, but in the end, as usual, they lacked an accurate throw. In general, against the leaders of the championship, they show a rather weak game and, as a rule, lose within 60 minutes, remaining with a minimum number of goals scored.
And if Galym Mambetaliyev team is playing well in the opening period, then the following 40 minutes are going very badly for them, because today they have a ratio of 23:68 in goals scored and goals conceded in the second and third periods combined. Also, we should not forget that the club has problems with the majority and even in the recent match with Novosibirsk, they did not use any of their three attempts in the 5x4 format.
Disqualifications and injuries
Antipin, Smith, Starchenko, Zhafyarov will not take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barys averages 22 shots on target on the road
When away from home, Astana plays second fiddle and is used to spending most of its time "sitting back" in defense
- Barys receives 6.06 penalty minutes per match
"Bars" are usually sent off no more than three times per game
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In the four previous matches involving the visitors, the first period was unproductive
1.60Bet 2nd period: Muscovites win
In three out of four matches the visitors were losing in this period
1.85Tip and bets
In our opinion, Barys has very little chance of a favorable outcome in this confrontation. CSKA will definitely not give in and will approach this match with full responsibility, since it now needs any points to get closer to the top three. Astana residents often lose by a few goals in matches with such opponents and cannot put up a decent fight, especially when playing away. In addition, previous meetings between the clubs, as a rule, ended with a confident victory for the Moscow army team. Based on the above, we suggest betting on the success of the home team.
Forecast - CSKA win with Asian handicap (-1.5) on goals for 1.70
Bet on individual total
Barys had a minimum number of goals scored in previous matches. In three out of four matches, Astana was unable to break down the opponent defense at all. Ilya Vorobyov charges know how to play against such opponents and usually let them in no more than once. Plus, the home team managed to get by with less than two goals in three out of five matches.
We bet on Barys' individual total under 1.5 goals for 1.70
Total Bet
We wouldn't expect a lot of goals in this matchup, as CSKA will likely deal with their opponents on class and won't waste much energy before a tough away series. Plus, previous meetings with both the army men and the "bars" were "low-scoring" and usually ended with four or fewer goals, so it makes sense to bet on the under total.
We take the total under 4.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.95
