LiontipsOttawa vs Vancouver. NHL match prediction and bets
Command Analysis
Current form
Ottawa looked pretty good at the start and earned a lot of points, which allowed it to stay close to the playoff zone. However, recently it has not been performing at its best and often lost within 60 minutes. That is why the team has become one of the main outsiders of the Eastern Conference and ended up in the penultimate line of the tournament table. Moreover, in the event of another defeat, it may even take the last place, since it is ahead of the same Montreal by only one point. Note that at the moment the Senators are on a series of four losses. After a “dry” defeat to Carolina (0:4), they returned to their home court, where they first failed to cope with Edmonton (2:5), and then lost to Vegas in the fight with a score of 2:3.
Oddly enough, in the three previous cases the Canadians failed to score more than two goals, although they usually showed decent efficiency due to the game on the counter courses. But in the game on the majority, Travis Green team still remains one of the best in the league and currently has a 27% conversion rate. By the way, the head coach himself, after the failure in the confrontation with the "knights", said that the puck literally stopped obeying his charges, but this moment must be reversed.
Let emphasize that the team is heavily dependent on its attack leaders Stützle and Tkachuk, so if these forwards do not score points, it often loses. By the way, the German forward has scored only one goal in four previous games.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ottawa has no problems with its roster right now.
Interesting trends for betting
- Ottawa has a 78.0% power play neutralization rate.
The Canadians are ranked 19th in the league in this indicator.
- The Senators are averaging 8.05 penalty minutes.
According to statistics, Canadians are sent off at least four times per match
Current form
Vancouver is in sixth place in the Western Conference. Overall, things are going very well for them this season, as they can improve their position in the standings at any time, as the competition is off the charts. However, after a successful start and excellent winning streaks, the Canadians have entered a slump that continues to this day. It should be noted that they have lost three of their previous four games. They only managed to deal with Chicago (4:1), and in the other games they lost within regulation time.
So, the "killer whales" could not cope with the "Islanders" (2:5), "Nashville" (3:5), and also lost to the Islanders with a score of 3:4. Now the team defense is suffering greatly. Due to the fact that they allow too much to the opponent in their own zone, they miss at least three or four pucks. And the goalie line this season is far from the strongest, so the coaching staff constantly chooses between Shilov and Lankinen. As a rule, Vancouver plays the second twenty minutes most successfully.
Unlike their counterparts, Rick Tocchet team plays better in the minority and currently has 81.1% neutralization. He himself also makes good use of the numerical advantage and, on average, converts every fifth attempt, but to be among the leaders of the conference, he definitely needs to improve this indicator.
Disqualifications and injuries
Boser, Demko, Forbort, Miller, Pullman will not take part in the fight due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Vancouver averages 27 shots on target per game
The Canucks are not known for their high shooting activity and rarely threaten the opponent goal more than 30 times
- Vancouver has won six of seven games on the road
The "Killers" play well away from home and this season they have earned more points on foreign courts than at home.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.82Bet 3rd period: both teams to score
In four out of five head-to-head matches, both teams scored goals in the third period
2.20Tip and bets
Vancouver, even with so many injuries, looks, in our opinion, like the favorite in the matchup with Ottawa. The hosts have previously shown a lackluster game both in defense and in attack, while the Canucks, at least in attack, always show themselves from the best side. They also finished their previous face-to-face meetings with the Senators in their favor within 60 minutes with a difference of several goals. At the same time, the Killer Whales have been playing well on the road this season and have suffered only one defeat in regulation time so far.
Prediction - Vancouver win with handicap (0) for 2.20
Bet on individual total
Vancouver has shown decent scoring in previous games and has usually scored at least three goals. The Canucks make good use of their chances and are good at punishing their opponents for their mistakes. Ottawa has conceded at least four goals in its last four games. By the way, the last time the Orcas failed to breach the Senators' defense three times was back in 2021, so it makes sense to bet on their total again.
We take Vancouver individual total over 2.5 goals for 1.80
Total Bet
Most of the previous matches involving both Ottawa and Vancouver were spectacular and had a high number of goals. Previous meetings between the clubs were also "high-scoring". The teams are never shy about playing open hockey against each other and try to act, as they say, without a middle zone. We think that such a game will await us in the upcoming confrontation.
We bet on total over 5.5 goals with odds of 1.77
