Karacev vs Moro Cañas: Predictions and Betting Tips for the ATP Almaty Match on October 14, 2024

Almaty Open, Qualification.
Aslan KaratsevRussian Federation
Alejandro Moro CanasSpain
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Aslan Karatsev - Alejandro Moro Canas
Karacev and Moro Canas will clash in the qualification finals on October 14 in Almaty. Karacev's aggressive playing style is perfectly suited for the fast hard courts. A solid victory over Misolic in the first round of qualification indicates that Aslan is currently in great form. Will the Russian secure a spot in the main draw of the tournament? Match analysis and betting insights are included in our betting tip.

Command Analysis

Aslan Karatsev

Current Form

Karatsev subdued the challenge from Filip Misolic, winning 6-2, 7-5 in the first round of the qualifying tournament in Almaty. The Russian recorded nine aces, converted four break points, and dropped just one game on his serve. This marks Aslan's first victory on indoor hard courts this season.

Professional Qualities

Karatsev is a player whose game heavily relies on powerful shots, making him highly dependent on his physical fitness. Despite recent inconsistencies, the Russian has demonstrated resilience in his latest tournaments.

Current Tour Statistics

Due to a knee injury, Karatsev missed a significant portion of the tournaments in the first half of the season. As a result, Aslan currently ranks outside the top 100 in the world, sitting at 137, although he once achieved a ranking as high as 14.

Interesting Betting Insights

Seven of Karatsev's last ten matches were decided in straight sets.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Current Form

In the first round of qualifying at the tournament in Almaty, Moro Cañas defeated Nikolay Budkov Kyaer with a score of 6-1, 6-3. The Spaniard recorded six aces, converted four break points, and did not lose a single game on his serve. This marked Alejandro’s third victory on indoor hard courts this season against four losses.

Professional Qualities

Moro Cañas exhibits impressive consistency on serve, particularly on hard courts. While the Spaniard is versatile, he truly thrives on clay courts, where he has claimed one tournament title this year.

Current Tour Statistics

Moro Cañas currently ranks 157th in the world standings. Notably, he secured one trophy on his preferred clay surface this year and had a successful run at the challenger event in Rome, marking his fourth career title.

Interesting Betting Insights

In his last five matches, Cañas has played four tiebreaks.

Trends

Bet Tiebreak in match - yes

This bet has won in 3 of the last 5 matches of Moro Kanyas

2.33
2.33

Bet Set performance: 1>2

In 3 of the last 5 matches, Karatseva's games followed this pattern

2.29
2.29

Tip and bets

TipKaratseva with a handicap of -3
2.01

Karacev's aggressive playing style is perfectly suited for fast courts. In the first round of qualifying, Aslan dominated Misolic, and we believe he will swiftly overcome Moro Canas, who primarily excels on clay courts.

Our prediction is a victory for Karacev with a handicap of (-3) games at odds of 2.01

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TipTotal Under 22
1.84

Totals Betting

Karatsev confidently defeated Misolic in the first round of qualifying, winning in straight sets. We expect him to achieve a similar result against the clay court specialist Moro Canas, taking the match in two sets as well.

Our second prediction is total games under 22, with odds of 1.84

First Set Betting

In three of his last five matches, Moro Canas has seen more than 9.5 games played in the first set. We believe that the upcoming match between Alejandro and Karatsev will also start with a high-scoring first set.

Our prediction is total games over 9.5 in the first set, with odds of 1.81

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Betting predictions stat

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Total tips26
% of profit2.8%
Win percentage65.38%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins65.38%  (17)
Refunds7.69%  (2)
Loses26.92%  (7)
Total tips199
% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)