LiontipsMüller vs Auger-Aliassime: Predictions and Betting Odds for ATP Shanghai Match on October 4, 2024
Command Analysis
Current Form
Müller advanced in the first round of the Shanghai Masters by defeating Luca Nardi with a score of 4-6, 6-1, 6-1. During the match, Alexander served six aces, converted six break points, and dropped two games on his serve. For the Frenchman, this marked his tenth hard court victory of the season against 13 losses.
Professional Qualities
Müller, while not known for an exceptional serve or powerful shots, relies on counterattacks. He employs a strong forehand and prolongs rallies until he can set up a response. His receiving game is more effective than his serve. Against notably stronger opponents, he tends to find success only under special circumstances.
Current Tour Statistics
Müller is ranked 71st in the world. This season, the Frenchman achieved one tournament victory, clinching the title at a clay Challenger in San Marino, marking the tenth title of his career.
Interesting Betting Insights
Müller has lost 7 out of his last 9 matches against players ranked in the top 50.
Current Form
Auger-Aliassime had a disappointing outing in Tokyo last week. During that tournament, the Canadian was unable to make it past the opening round, losing to Yoshihito Nishioka. This season on outdoor hard courts, he has recorded six wins and nine losses.
Professional Qualities
Auger-Aliassime has quickly adapted to a more aggressive playing style. Early in his career, his exceptional movement skills and flexibility were clear, but his attacking potential really emerged just a couple of years ago. With a powerful serve and quality forehand, he achieved remarkable milestones, including reaching the Wimbledon quarter-finals in 2021 and the US Open semi-finals in the same season.
Current Tour Statistics
Auger-Aliassime is a former world number six. He is currently ranked 21st in the global standings. This season, the Canadian has one final appearance under his belt, reaching the final at the Madrid Masters, where he lost to Andrey Rublev in three sets.
Interesting Betting Facts
Six of Auger-Aliassime's last ten matches ended in straight sets.
Trends
Bet Sets Performance: 1>2
In 3 out of the last 5 matches for Müller, the events unfolded in this manner
2.27Bet Tiebreak in the Match - Yes
This bet has won in 3 out of the last 5 matches for Auger-Aliassime
2.25Tip and bets
Müller has the potential to surprise and defeat Auger-Aliassime. The French player is currently in great shape, as evidenced by his recent strong performances. In the opening round, Alexander showcased consistent serving and effective receiving, which could pose serious challenges for the Canadian.
Our prediction is a victory for Müller with a (+4) game handicap at odds of 1.83
Betting on Total Games
Müller is currently in excellent form, unlike Auger-Aliassime. We anticipate that the upcoming match will be highly competitive and likely exceed two sets.
Our second prediction is for over 22 games at odds of 1.89
Betting on the First Set
In three of Auger-Aliassime's last five matches, there were fewer than 9.5 games played in the first set. We expect Felix's upcoming match against Müller will also begin with a "low-scoring" first set.
Our prediction is for under 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.99
