Bellucci vs Karatsev: Predictions and Betting Odds for the ATP Shanghai Match

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification. court-4
Mattia BellucciItaly
Aslan KaratsevRussian Federation
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Mattia Bellucci - Aslan Karatsev
Bellucci and Karatsev will face off on October 1 in the final qualification match of the Shanghai tournament. Recently, Bellucci decisively defeated Karatsev in Hangzhou, allowing him just four games throughout the match. Given this performance, it wouldn’t be surprising if the Italian once again comes out on top against Aslan in the upcoming clash. What bets should you consider for this match? Find out in our detailed betting tip.

Command Analysis

Mattia Bellucci

Current Form

Bellucci began his qualification campaign in Shanghai with a win against Yuta Shimizu with scores of 7-5 and 7-6. Mattea delivered ten aces during the match converted two break points and lost just one game on his serve. This marks Bellucci’s 25th hard court win of the season against 14 losses.

Professional Attributes

Bellucci is not your typical Italian player; he feels more at home on hard courts than on clay. He possesses a strong left-handed serve and excellent movement from the baseline, enabling him to effectively return difficult shots.

Current Tour Statistics

Although Bellucci has yet to break into the top 100 of the global rankings, he is close, currently sitting at 103. This season, Mattea has not claimed any trophies but has reached one final at the Cary Challenger.

Betting Insights

On hard courts, 4 out of his last 6 matches have resulted in victories for Bellucci.

Aslan Karatsev

Current Form

Karatsev secured a determined victory in the first round of qualifying at the Masters in Shanghai, overcoming Aziz Dugaz with scores of 6-7, 6-4, 6-4. During the match against the Tunisian player, Aslan delivered ten aces, converted three break points, and dropped one game on his serve.

Professional Attributes

Karatsev's game is characterized by powerful shots, which often leads to a high number of errors. When in top form, Aslan can play flawlessly, executing both forehand and backhand strokes with impeccable technique. However, his performance this season has been less than ideal, as he currently ranks outside the top 100 in the world.

Current Tour Statistics

This season, Karatsev has yet to showcase his full potential, failing to reach the second round in any tournament so far. Currently, he holds the 139th position in the global rankings, a far cry from his previous peak at 14th.

Notable Betting Insights

Karatsev has lost 3 of his last 5 matches on hard courts.

Trends

Bet Set Performance: 2>1

In 3 of the last 5 matches, Bellucci's on-court events followed this pattern

2.22
2.22

Bet No Tiebreak in Match

This bet has won in 3 of the last 5 matches for Karatsev

1.39
1.39

Tip and bets

TipBellucci with a spread of -3
1.98

Bellucci recently faced Karatsev at the tournament in Hangzhou, where the Italian only allowed Aslan to score four games throughout the match. It’s likely that the upcoming contest will also end in a decisive victory for Mattia.

Our prediction is a Bellucci win with a handicap of (-3) games at odds of 1.98

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TipTotal under 22
1.89

Total Bet

The only prior matchup between these tennis players occurred recently at the tournament in Hangzhou. That match was decided in just two sets, and the upcoming clash between Bellucci and Karatsev is likely to be another low-scoring affair.

Our second prediction is under 22 games at odds of 1.89

First Set Bet

In three of Karatsev's last five matches, fewer than 9.5 games were played in the first set. We anticipate that his upcoming match against Bellucci will also start with a low-scoring first set.

Prediction: under 9.5 games in the first set at odds of 1.99

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Total tips26
% of profit2.8%
Win percentage65.38%
Average coefficient1.83
Wins65.38%  (17)
Refunds7.69%  (2)
Loses26.92%  (7)
Total tips199
% of profit8%
Win percentage49.75%
Average coefficient1.86
Wins49.75%  (99)
Refunds9.55%  (19)
Loses40.70%  (81)